2024 United States presidential election in North Dakota
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| Elections in North Dakota |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in North Dakota is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Dakota voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Dakota has three electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
A sparsely-populated Great Plains state with an almost-exclusively White populace, North Dakota has not been won by a Democrat since Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide and has only been decided by single digits in three presidential elections since then: 1976, 1996, and 2008. Furthermore, agribusiness and the recent oil boom have played a key role in cementing the GOP's overwhelming popularity in the state. North Dakota is expected to be safely won by the Republican candidate in 2024.[2]
Primary elections[edit]
Democratic primary[edit]
The North Dakota Democratic primary was held mostly through mail in ballots. Limited in person voting was held, and all ballots were due March 30, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 840 | 92.4% | 13 | 13 | |
| Marianne Williamson | 31 | 3.4% | |||
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 16 | 1.8% | |||
| Cenk Uygur (withdrawn) | 13 | 1.4% | |||
| Eban Cambridge | 4 | 0.4% | |||
| Stephen Lyons (withdrawn) | 3 | 0.3% | |||
| Jason Palmer | 2 | 0.2% | |||
| Armando Perez-Serrato | 0 | 0% | |||
| Total: | 909 | 100.0% | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| Source: [3] | |||||
Republican caucuses[edit]
The North Dakota Republican caucuses were held on March 4, 2024, one day before Super Tuesday, where 15 states and 865 total delegates were up for election.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 1,632 | 84.4% | 29 | 29 | |
| Nikki Haley | 273 | 14.1% | |||
| David Stuckenberg | 19 | 1.0% | |||
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 9 | 0.5% | |||
| Total: | 1,933 | 100.00% | 29 | 29 | |
| Source: [4] | |||||
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[5] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[6] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] | Solid R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[8] | Solid R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[9] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[10] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
Polling[edit]
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 419 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 54% | 17% | 28% |
See also[edit]
- United States presidential elections in North Dakota
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes[edit]
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References[edit]
- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
- ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
- ^ "North Dakota Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved March 29, 2024.
- ^ Yoon, Robert (February 29, 2024). "AP Decision Notes: What to expect in North Dakota's GOP caucuses". The AP. Retrieved March 3, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
