User:Jarda2020/2022 Atlantic hurricane season

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2022 Atlantic hurricane season
Season summary map
Seasonal boundaries
First system formedJune 14, 2022
Last system dissipatedSeason ongoing
Strongest storm
NameAlex
 • Maximum winds50 mph (85 km/h)
(1-minute sustained)
 • Lowest pressure998 mbar (hPa; 29.47 inHg)
Seasonal statistics
Total depressions1
Total storms1
Hurricanes0
Major hurricanes
(Cat. 3+)
0
Total fatalities10
Total damageUnknown
Related articles
Atlantic hurricane seasons
2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024

The 2022 Atlantic hurricane season is an ongoing Atlantic hurricane season, which is part of the annual tropical cyclone season in the Northern Hemisphere. It will officially begin on June 1, 2022, and end on November 30, 2022. These dates, adopted by convention, historically describe the period in each year when most Atlantic tropical cyclones form. However, subtropical or tropical cyclogenesis is possible at any time of the year. Though the formation of Tropical Storm Alex on June 14, made 2022 the first year to not have an early system since 2014.

Starting with this season, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) began to issue regular Tropical Weather Outlooks on May 15, two weeks earlier than it did in the past. This change was implemented in light of the fact that named systems had formed in the Atlantic Ocean prior to the official start of the season in each of the preceding six seasons.

Seasonal forecasts[edit]

Predictions of tropical activity in the 2022 season
Source Date Named
storms
Hurricanes Major
hurricanes
Ref
Average (1991–2020) 14.4 7.2 3.2
Record high activity 30 15 7
Record low activity 4 2 0

CSU December 9, 2021 14–17 7–9 3–4
TSR December 10, 2021 19 9 4
TSR April 6, 2022 18 8 4
CSU April 7, 2022 21 9 4
TWC April 14, 2022 19 7 3
UA April 14, 2022 17 8 4
NCSU April 20, 2022 17–21 7–9 3–5
PSU May 9, 2022 13-21 N/A N/A
UKMO* May 23, 2022 21 10 5
NOAA May 24, 2022 16–23 8–12 4–7

Actual activity
1 0 0
* June–November only
† Most recent of several such occurrences. (See all)

In advance of, and during, each hurricane season, several forecasts of hurricane activity are issued by national meteorological services, scientific agencies, and noted hurricane experts. These include forecasters from the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)'s Climate Prediction Center, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR), the United Kingdom's Met Office (UKMO), and Philip J. Klotzbach, William M. Gray and their associates at Colorado State University (CSU). The forecasts include weekly and monthly changes in significant factors that help determine the number of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes within a particular year. According to NOAA and CSU, the average Atlantic hurricane season between 1991 and 2020 contained roughly 14 tropical storms, seven hurricanes, three major hurricanes, and an accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index of 72–111 units. Broadly speaking, ACE is a measure of the power of a tropical or subtropical storm multiplied by the length of time it existed. It is only calculated for full advisories on specific tropical and subtropical systems reaching or exceeding wind speeds of 39 mph (63 km/h). NOAA typically categorizes a season as above-average, average, or below-average based on the cumulative ACE index, but the number of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes within a hurricane season is sometimes also considered.

Pre-season forecasts[edit]

On December 10, 2021, TSR issued an extended range forecast for the 2022 hurricane season, predicting way above-average activity with 14–17 named storms, 7–9 hurricanes, 3–4 major hurricanes, and an ACE index of about 146 units. On December 13, 2021, CSU also issued forecast for the 2022 hurricane season, predicting way above-average activity with 20 named storms, 10 hurricanes and 5 major hurricanes, the ACE index is forecasted by the agency to 155 units.

On April 6, CSU issued their first extended range seasonal forecast for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, predicting well above-average activity, with 19 named storms, 9 hurricanes, 4 major hurricanes and an ACE index of 160 units. Their factors supporting an active hurricane season included above average-sea surface temperatures in the subtropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, and a cool neutral ENSO or weak La Niña pattern, corresponding to a low chance of an El Niño. On April 14, 2022, University of Arizona (UA) issued its seasonal prediction for a slightly above-average hurricane season, with 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, three major hurricanes, and an ACE index of 129 units. North Carolina State University (NCSU) made its prediction for the season on April 20, calling for an above-average season with 17 to 21 named storms, 7 to 9 hurricanes, and 3 to 5 major hurricanes.

Seasonal summary[edit]

Saffir–Simpson scale

Systems[edit]

Tropical Storm Alex[edit]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
 
DurationJune 14 – Present
Peak intensity50 mph (85 km/h) (1-min);
998 mbar (hPa)

On June 10, a large low-pressure area developed near the Yucatán Peninsula, partially related to the Pacific basin remnants of Tropical Storm Celia interacting with an upper-level trough over the Gulf of Mexico. The low moved eastward over the Yucatán Peninsula, producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the peninsula and northwestern Caribbean Sea on June 11–13.

Storm names[edit]

The following list of names will be used for named storms that form in the North Atlantic in 2022. Retired names, if any, will be announced by the World Meteorological Organization in the spring of 2023. The names not retired from this list will be used again in the 2028 season. This is the same list used in the 2016 season, with the exceptions of Martin and Owen, which replaced Matthew and Otto, respectively.

  • Alex
  • Bonnie (unused)
  • Colin (unused)
  • Danielle (unused)
  • Earl (unused)
  • Fiona (unused)
  • Gaston (unused)
  • Hermine (unused)
  • Ian (unused)
  • Julia (unused)
  • Karl (unused)
  • Lisa (unused)
  • Martin (unused)
  • Nicole (unused)
  • Owen (unused)
  • Paula (unused)
  • Richard (unused)
  • Shary (unused)
  • Tobias (unused)
  • Virginie (unused)
  • Walter (unused)

Season effects[edit]

This is a table of all of the storms that have formed in the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season. It includes their duration, names, damages, and death totals. Deaths in parentheses are additional and indirect (an example of an indirect death would be a traffic accident), but were still related to that storm. Damage and deaths include totals while the storm was extratropical, a wave, or a low, and all of the damage figures are in 2022 USD.

Saffir–Simpson scale
TD TS C1 C2 C3 C4 C5
2022 North Atlantic tropical cyclone season statistics
Storm
name
Dates active Storm category
at peak intensity
Max 1-min
wind
mph (km/h)
Min.
press.
(mbar)
Areas affected Damage
(USD)
Deaths Ref(s)
Alex June 14 – Present Tropical storm 50 (85) 998 Western Cuba, Yucatán Peninsula, Southern Florida Unknown 10
Season aggregates
1 systems June 14 – Season ongoing   50 (85) 998 Unknown 10