User:HRF22/sandbox7

To do (2028):

- Most teals losing their seats, Frydenberg beating Ryan
- Further Labor losses to Greens and/or independents?

To do (2031):

- Frydenberg now leader, Burke as OL

October 2027 Australian Labor Party leadership election

20-25 June 2027

Candidate Chris Bowen Jim Chalmers Percentage 54.79% 45.21% Caucus 49 (53.26%) 43 (46.74%) Members 27,417 (56.32%) 21,263 (43.68%) Seat McMahon (NSW) Rankin (Qld.) Faction Right Right

Leader before election Anthony Albanese Elected Leader Chris Bowen

2025 Australian federal election

10 May 2025
All 150 seats in the House of Representatives and 40 (of the 76) seats in the Senate 76 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered	18,090,345 5.00%
Turnout	89.02% ( 0.80 pp)
First party Second party Third party   Leader Anthony Albanese Peter Dutton Adam Bandt Party Labor Liberal/National Coalition Greens Leader since 30 May 2019 (2019-05-30) 30 May 2022 (2022-05-30) 4 February 2020 (2020-02-04) Leader's seat Grayndler (NSW) (lost seat) Dickson (Qld.) Melbourne (Vic.) Last election 77 seats, 32.58% 58 seats, 35.70% 4 seats, 12.25% Seats before 77 / 151 56 / 151 4 / 151 Seats won 66 / 150 66 / 150 7 / 150 Seat change 11 10 3 First preference vote 5,437,958 6,816,442 2,699,079 Percentage 30.06% 37.68% 14.92% Swing 2.52% 1.98% 2.67% TPP 50.79% 49.21% TPP swing 1.34% 1.34%
Prime Minister before election Anthony Albanese Labor Subsequent Prime Minister Anthony Albanese Labor

2028 Australian federal election

13 May 2028
All 150 seats in the House of Representatives and 40 (of the 76) seats in the Senate 76 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered	18,994,862 5.00%
Turnout	89.32% ( 0.30 pp)
First party Second party Third party   Leader Peter Dutton Chris Bowen Adam Bandt Party Liberal/National Coalition Labor Greens Leader since 30 May 2022 (2022-05-30) 25 June 2027 (2027-06-25) 4 February 2020 (2020-02-04) Leader's seat Dickson (Qld.) McMahon (NSW) Melbourne (Vic.) Last election 66 seats, 37.68% 66 seats, 30.06% 7 seats, 14.92% Seats before 66 / 150 66 / 150 7 / 150 Seats won 82 / 150 54 / 150 6 / 150 Seat change 16 12 1 First preference vote 7,639,733 5,438,229 2,366,760 Percentage 40.22% 28.63% 12.46% Swing 2.98% 1.43% 2.46% TPP 52.38% 47.62% TPP swing 3.16% 3.16%   Fourth party Fifth party   Leader Mark Olson Bob Katter Party Australian Nursing Federation Katter's Australian Leader since 22 July 2027 3 June 2011 Leader's seat Swan (WA) (won seat) Kennedy (Qld.) Last election Did not exist 1 seat, 0.43% Seats before 0 / 150 1 / 150 Seats won 1 / 150 1 / 150 Seat change 1 First preference vote 80,065 79,778 Percentage 0.42% 0.42% Swing New Party 0.01%
Prime Minister before election Chris Bowen Labor Subsequent Prime Minister Peter Dutton Liberal/National Coalition