Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election

This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

Forecasts[edit]

Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:

"tossup": no advantage
"tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
"lean" or "leans": slight advantage
"likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
"safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory

Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by all forecasters (The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections) are omitted for brevity.

State	EVs	PVI^[1]	2020 result	2020 margin^[2]	IE April 26, 2023^[3]	Sabato June 29, 2023^[4]	CNalysis November 15, 2023^[5]	Cook December 19, 2023^[6]	CNN January 18, 2024^[7]
Alaska	3	R+8	52.8% R	10.06%	Solid R	Likely R	Very Likely R	Solid R	Solid R
Arizona	11	R+2	49.4% D	0.31%	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Florida	30	R+3	51.2% R	3.36%	Lean R	Likely R	Very Likely R	Likely R	Lean R
Georgia	16	R+3	49.5% D	0.24%	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R (flip)
Iowa	6	R+6	53.1% R	8.20%	Likely R	Likely R	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R
Maine^[a]	2	D+2	53.1% D	9.07%	Likely D	Likely D	Very Likely D	Likely D	Solid D
ME–02^[a]	1	R+6	52.3% R	7.44%	Lean R	Lean R	Very Likely R	Likely R	Lean R
Michigan	15	R+1	50.6% D	2.78%	Tilt D	Lean D	Tilt D	Tossup	Lean R (flip)
Minnesota	10	D+1	52.4% D	7.11%	Lean D	Likely D	Very Likely D	Likely D	Lean D
NE–02^[a]	1	EVEN	52.0% D	6.50%	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Tossup
Nevada	6	R+1	50.1% D	2.39%	Tilt D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R (flip)
New Hampshire	4	D+1	52.7% D	7.35%	Lean D	Lean D	Very Likely D	Likely D	Lean D
New Mexico	5	D+3	54.3% D	10.79%	Solid D	Likely D	Solid D	Solid D	Lean D
North Carolina	16	R+3	49.9% R	1.35%	Tilt R	Lean R	Tossup	Lean R	Lean R
Ohio	17	R+6	53.3% R	8.03%	Likely R	Likely R	Very Likely R	Solid R	Solid R
Pennsylvania	19	R+2	50.0% D	1.16%	Tossup	Lean D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Texas	40	R+5	52.1% R	5.58%	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Solid R
Virginia	13	D+3	54.1% D	10.11%	Likely D	Likely D	Very Likely D	Solid D	Lean D
Wisconsin	10	R+2	49.5% D	0.63%	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Overall					D - 247 R - 235 56 tossups	D - 260 R - 235 43 tossups	D - 241 R - 219 78 tossups	D - 226 R - 235 77 tossups	D - 225 R - 272 41 tossups

Polling[edit]

Alabama[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
WPA Intelligence	August 23–24 & 26, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	57%	32%	12%

Alaska[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Data for Progress (D)	February 23 – March 2, 2024	1,120 (LV)	± 3.0%	53%	41%	6%
Alaska Survey Research	October 13–18, 2023	1,375 (LV)	–	45%	37%	19%
Alaska Survey Research	July 18–21, 2023	1,336 (LV)	–	43%	36%	21%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Alaska Survey Research	October 13–18, 2023	1,375 (LV)	–	37%	29%	17%	17%

Arizona[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	April 8–15, 2024	801 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	49%	9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)^[A]	April 7–11, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	44%	48%	8%
The Bullfinch Group^[B]	March 29 – April 3, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	38%	44%	18%^[c]
RABA Research	March 28–31, 2024	503 (RV)	± 4.4%	36%	39%	25%^[d]
Wall Street Journal	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	47%	11%
Echelon Insights^[C]	March 12–19, 2024	401 (LV)	± 5.7%	45%	51%	4%
North Star Opinion Research^[D]	March 14–17, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	46%	12%
Emerson College	March 12–15, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	52%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	March 8–14, 2024	796 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	48%	9%
Fox News	March 7–11, 2024	1,121 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	49%	6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)	February 21–26, 2024	1,001 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	47%	13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	February 12–20, 2024	798 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	49%	8%
Emerson College	February 16–19, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	46%	11%
J.L. Partners	January 29 – February 1, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	41%	45%	14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	January 16–21, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	47%	9%
The Bullfinch Group	December 14–18, 2023	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	40%	50%	10%
VCreek/AMG (R)^[E]	December 1–8, 2023	694 (RV)	–	41%	46%	13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	November 27 – December 6, 2023	796 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	46%	12%
J.L. Partners	November 27 – December 1, 2023	550 (LV)	± 4.4%	43%	48%	9%
Tulchin Research (D)	November 13–20, 2023	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	42%	42%	16%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 30 – November 7, 2023	800 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	46%	12%
Emerson College	October 30 – November 4, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	43%	16%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.4%	44%	49%	7%
Noble Predictive Insights	October 25–31, 2023	1,010 (RV)	± 3.1%	38%	46%	16%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 5–10, 2023	804 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	47%	10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 7–9, 2023	627 (RV)	–	39%	44%	16%
Emerson College	August 2–4, 2023	1,337 (RV)	± 2.6%	43%	45%	13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	July 22–24, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	44%	8%
Prime Group^[F]	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	48%	52%	–
Prime Group^[F]	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	31%	41%	28%^[e]
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	June 17–19, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	44%	41%	11%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	May 15–17, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	44%	10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	April 11–13, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	44%	11%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[G]	March 13–14, 2023	1,001 (LV)	± 3.0%	39%	50%	11%
OH Predictive Insights	January 31 – February 9, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	39%	37%	24%
Blueprint Polling (D)	January 5–8, 2023	618 (V)	± 3.9%	35%	38%	27%
Rasmussen Reports (R)	November 8–9, 2022	874 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	45%	8%
Targoz Market Research	November 2–6, 2022	560 (LV)	± 4.1%	45%	53%	2%
Emerson College	October 30 – November 1, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	42%	46%	12%
Emerson College	September 6–7, 2022	627 (LV)	± 3.9%	41%	44%	15%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	773 (LV)	± 4.5%	43%	47%	10%
Blueprint Polling (D)	May 12–16, 2022	608 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	41%	18%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)^[A]	November 11–16, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	51%	6%
Bendixen/Amandi International	June 17–23, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	44%	5%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	April 8–15, 2024	801 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	46%	7%	2%	0%	5%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)^[A]	April 7–11, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	37%	42%	10%	–	2%	9%
Wall Street Journal	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	34%	39%	13%	2%	1%	11%^[f]
Emerson College	March 12–15, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	38%	46%	7%	1%	2%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	March 8–14, 2024	796 (RV)	± 3.0%	37%	43%	12%	2%	1%	5%
Fox News	March 7–11, 2024	1,121 (RV)	± 3.0%	39%	43%	10%	1%	2%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	February 12–20, 2024	798 (RV)	± 3.0%	36%	45%	9%	1%	1%	8%
Emerson College	February 16–19, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	37%	43%	8%	1%	1%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	January 16–21, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.0%	35%	43%	10%	1%	1%	10%
VCreek/AMG (R)^[H]	December 1–8, 2023	694 (RV)	–	32%	40%	9%	3%	2%	14%^[g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	November 27 – December 6, 2023	796 (RV)	± 3.0%	37%	40%	10%	1%	1%	11%
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail	November 27 – December 1, 2023	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	39%	44%	5%	1%	0%	12%^[h]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
North Star Opinion Research^[I]	March 14–17, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	33%	37%	18%	2%	10%
J.L. Partners	November 27 – December 1, 2023	550 (LV)	± 4.4%	34%	39%	4%	1%	22%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 30 – November 7, 2023	800 (RV)	± 3.0%	36%	40%	11%	1%	12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	March 14–17, 2024	516 (LV)	–	41%	44%	7%	8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	December 28–30, 2023	808 (LV)	–	35%	41%	10%	14%
VCreek/AMG (R)^[J]	December 1–8, 2023	694 (RV)	–	35%	40%	16%	9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	1,103 (LV)	–	33%	40%	10%	17%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22– November 3, 2023	603 (LV)	±4.4	33%	33%	26%	8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 7–9, 2023	627 (LV)	–	37%	42%	8%	12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Green	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	August 2–4, 2023	1,337 (RV)	± 2.6%	41%	42%	4%	13%

Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	1,103 (LV)	–	33%	25%	19%	6%	17%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Other / Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R)^[K]	December 1–8, 2023	694 (RV)	–	30%	37%	33%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.4%	37%	46%	17%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	1,103 (LV)	–	34%	27%	17%	6%	16%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	46%	12%
Noble Predictive Insights	October 25 – 31, 2023	1,010 (RV)	± 3.1%	37%	40%	23%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	July 22–24, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	39%	46%	12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	June 17–19, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	40%	46%	12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	May 15–17, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	43%	47%	10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	April 11–13, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	48%	10%
OH Predictive Insights	January 31 – February 9, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	35%	36%	29%
Blueprint Polling (D)	January 5–8, 2023	618 (V)	± 3.9%	37%	43%	20%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	773 (LV)	± 4.5%	43%	43%	14%

Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Mike Pence Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	May 15–17, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	43%	12%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.4%	44%	47%	9%

Arkansas[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	October 1–4, 2023	435 (RV)	± 4.7%	57%	24%	19%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	600 (LV)	± 7.7%	58%	33%	9%

Hypothetical polling

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	600 (LV)	± 7.7%	49%	31%	20%

California[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Institute of California	March 19–25, 2024	1,089 (LV)	± 3.9%	54%	31%	14%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections^[L]	February 24–27, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	57%	35%	8%
UC Berkeley IGS	February 22–26, 2024	6,536 (LV)	± 1.5%	52%	34%	14%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections^[L]	February 16–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	55%	33%	12%
Public Policy Institute of California	February 6–14, 2024	1,075 (LV)	± 3.9%	55%	32%	13%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections^[L]	January 11–14, 2024	1,087 (RV)	± 2.9%	54%	34%	12%
UC Berkeley IGS	January 1–4, 2024	4,471 (LV)	± 2.0%	56%	37%	19%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections^[L]	November 11–14, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	37%	13%
Public Policy Institute of California	November 9–16, 2023	1,113 (LV)	± 3.2%	54%	30%	16%
UC Berkeley IGS	October 24–30, 2023	4,506 (LV)	± 2.5%	46%	31%	23%
Public Policy Institute of California	October 3–19, 2023	1,377 (LV)	± 4.0%	60%	29%	12%
Data Viewpoint	October 1, 2023	533 (RV)	± 4.3%	67%	33%	–
Public Policy Institute of California	August 25 – September 5, 2023	1,146 (LV)	± 3.7%	57%	26%	17%
UC Berkeley IGS	August 24–29, 2023	6,030 (RV)	± 2.0%	51%	31%	18%
Public Policy Institute of California	June 7–29, 2023	1,089 (LV)	± 3.8%	57%	31%	12%
Public Policy Institute of California	May 17–24, 2023	1,062 (LV)	± 3.9%	58%	25%	17%
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times	February 14–20, 2023	5,149 (LV)	± 2.0%	59%	29%	12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Emerson College/Inside California Elections^[L]	February 24–27, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	32%	6%	2%	1%	8%
UC Berkeley IGS	February 22–26, 2024	6,536 (LV)	± 1.5%	40%	28%	11%	3%	2%	16%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections^[L]	February 16–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	31%	8%	1%	1%	10%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections^[L]	January 11–14, 2024	1,087 (RV)	± 2.9%	47%	32%	6%	1%	1%	13%
UC Berkeley IGS	January 1–4, 2024	4,471 (LV)	± 2.0%	47%	31%	7%	2%	2%	11%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections^[L]	November 11–14, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	31%	8%	1%	2%	15%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
UC Berkeley IGS	October 24–30, 2023	4,506 (LV)	± 2.5%	43%	29%	9%	4%	15%

Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Other / Undecided
Data Viewpoint	October 1, 2023	533 (RV)	± 4.3%	58%	42%	–

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times	February 14–20, 2023	5,149 (LV)	± 2.0%	56%	34%	10%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College/Inside California Elections^[L]	November 11–14, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	38%	15%

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College/Inside California Elections^[L]	November 11–14, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	53%	35%	13%

Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
Probolsky Research	August 4–9, 2022	900 (LV)	± 3.3%	55%	38%	7%

Colorado[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
New Bridge Strategy (R)/Aspect Strategic (D)^[M]	March 15–19, 2024	632 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	39%	12%
Florida Atlantic University	February 29 – March 3, 2024	170 (LV)	–	48%	44%	8%
Florida Atlantic University	February 29 – March 3, 2024	179 (RV)	–	48%	43%	9%
Emerson College	January 23–28, 2024	1,856 (RV)	± 2.2%	41%	35%	24%
Global Strategy Group (D)^[N]	January 22–28, 2024	801 (RV)	± 4.2%	49%	41%	10%
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder	December 1–18, 2023	800 (A)	± 4.2%	47%	40%	13%
Cygnal (R)/Aspect Strategies (D)^[O]	November 26–27, 2023	652 (LV)	± 3.8%	45%	36%	19%
Emerson College	October 1–4, 2023	477 (LV)	± 4.4%	42%	38%	20%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	May 7–9, 2023	500 (LV)	–	49%	39%	12%
Emerson College	October 26–29, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	39%	14%
Emerson College	September 18–19, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	36%	18%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)	July 24–26, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	43%	6%
Blueprint Polling (D)	April 6–8, 2022	612 (V)	± 4.0%	43%	43%	14%

Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	May 7–9, 2023	500 (LV)	–	44%	41%	15%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Other / Undecided
Blueprint Polling (D)	April 6–8, 2022	612 (V)	± 4.0%	43%	42%	16%

Connecticut[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	October 19–21, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	40%	11%
Emerson College	September 7–9, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	36%	15%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)	July 26–27, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	52%	39%	9%
Emerson College	May 10–11, 2022	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	38%	11%

Florida[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	April 15–17, 2024	865 (RV)	± 3.3%	50%	42%	8%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	April 15–17, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.3%	51%	43%	6%
Emerson College	April 9–10, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	56%	44%	–
St. Pete Polls	March 11–13, 2024	1,963 (LV)	± 2.2%	48%	42%	10%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	October 27 – November 11, 2023	946 (RV)	± 3.2%	49%	39%	12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 7–9, 2023	1,100 (RV)	–	44%	39%	17%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	June 27 – July 1, 2023	933 (RV)	± 3.2%	49%	39%	2%
Metropolitan Research Services	March 15–19, 2023	1,001 (RV)	–	47%	43%	10%
Emerson College	March 13–15, 2023	1,153 (RV)	± 2.8%	44%	44%	12%
University of North Florida	February 25 – March 7, 2023	1,452 (RV)	± 2.6%	50%	43%	7%
Victory Insights	November 16–17, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.1%	49%	51%	–
Rasmussen Reports (R)	November 8–9, 2022	1,224 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	40%	11%
Florida Atlantic University	October 12–16, 2022	719 (LV)	± 3.7%	45%	41%	14%
Suffolk University	September 15–18, 2022	500 (LV)	–	47%	44%	9%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	815 (LV)	± 4.3%	49%	41%	10%
Suffolk University	January 26–29, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	44%	9%
Victory Insights	September 16–18, 2021	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	51%	–
St. Pete Polls	August 16–17, 2021	2,068 (RV)	± 2.2%	47%	48%	5%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)	August 4–10, 2021	700 (RV)	± 3.7%	42%	50%	8%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	April 15–17, 2024	865 (RV)	± 3.3%	48%	38%	7%	7%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	April 15–17, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.3%	49%	40%	6%	5%
USA Today/Ipsos	April 5–7, 2024	1,014 (A)	± 4.1%	39%	31%	7%	23%
Emerson College	April 9–10, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	35%	6%	11%^[i]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	March 14–17, 2024	815 (LV)	–	46%	39%	7%	8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	December 28–30, 2023	1,147 (LV)	–	45%	34%	9%	12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	897 (LV)	–	44%	34%	9%	13%
Cygnal (R)	November 13–15, 2023	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	44%	37%	11%	8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 7–9, 2023	1100 (LV)	–	44%	37%	8%	11%

Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Undecided
Suffolk University	September 15–18, 2022	500 (LV)	–	46%	44%	10%
Victory Insights	September 16–18, 2021	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	51%	–

Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Undecided
Suffolk University	January 26–29, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	42%	9%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	897 (LV)	–	27%	32%	16%	24%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	897 (LV)	–	38%	34%	12%	16%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	October 27 – November 11, 2023	946 (RV)	± 3.2%	47%	39%	15%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	June 27 – July 1, 2023	933 (RV)	± 3.2%	49%	36%	15%
Emerson College	March 13–15, 2023	1,153 (RV)	± 2.8%	46%	43%	11%
University of North Florida	February 25 – March 7, 2023	1,452 (RV)	± 2.6%	51%	42%	8%
Cherry Communications	February 10–19, 2023	608 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	38%	13%
Victory Insights	November 16–17, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.1%	53%	47%	–
Suffolk University	September 15–18, 2022	500 (LV)	–	52%	44%	4%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	815 (LV)	± 4.3%	51%	42%	7%
Suffolk University	January 26–29, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	52%	44%	4%
Victory Insights	September 16–18, 2021	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	51%	–
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)	September 11–12, 2021	1,144 (LV)	± 3.1%	45%	55%	–
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)	August 4–10, 2021	700 (RV)	± 3.7%	47%	49%	4%

Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Undecided
Suffolk University	September 15–18, 2022	500 (LV)	–	52%	40%	8%
Victory Insights	September 16–18, 2021	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	51%	49%	–

Ron DeSantis vs. Hillary Clinton

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Undecided
Suffolk University	January 26–29, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	53%	40%	7%

Georgia[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Fox News	April 11–16, 2024	1,128 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	51%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	April 8–15, 2024	802 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	49%	8%
Wall Street Journal	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	43%	44%	13%
Echelon Insights^[P]	March 12–19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 5.7%	42%	52%	6%
Marist College	March 11–14, 2024	1,177 (RV)	± 3.7%	47%	51%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	March 8–12, 2024	788 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	49%	9%
CBS News/YouGov	March 4–11, 2024	1,133 (RV)	± 3.9%	48%	51%	1%
Emerson College	March 5–7, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	52%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	February 12–20, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	49%	8%
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	48%	10%
Fox News	January 26–30, 2024	1,119 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	51%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	January 16–21, 2024	798 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	49%	10%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution	January 3–11, 2024	1,007 (RV)	± 3.1%	37%	45%	18%
CNN/SSRS	November 30 – December 7, 2023	1,068 (RV)	± 3.3%	44%	49%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	November 27 – December 6, 2023	801 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	49%	8%
J.L. Partners	November 27 – December 1, 2023	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	44%	46%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 30 – November 7, 2023	803 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	48%	11%
Emerson College	October 30 – November 4, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	47%	14%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs^[Q]	October 30 – November 3, 2023	1,002 (LV)	± 3.1%	44%	45%	11%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	629 (RV)	± 4.5%	43%	49%	8%
Zogby Analytics	October 9–12, 2023	628 (LV)	± 3.9%	49%	51%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 5–10, 2023	801 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	48%	9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 7–9, 2023	761 (LV)	–	40%	43%	17%
Rasmussen Reports (R)	September 8–11, 2023	1,061 (LV)	± 3.0%	38%	47%	–
Prime Group^[R]	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	48%	52%	–
Prime Group^[R]	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	36%	45%	19%^[j]
Cygnal (R)^[S]	June 5–7, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4%	41%	42%	17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	May 15–17, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	44%	43%	13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	April 25–27, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	44%	43%	13%
Emerson College	November 28–30, 2022	888 (LV)	± 3.2%	44%	43%	13%
University of Massachusetts Lowell	November 18–28, 2022	1,300 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	43%	7%
Targoz Market Research	November 2–6, 2022	579 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	52%	5%
Emerson College	October 28–31, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	44%	47%	9%
Rasmussen Reports (R)	October 23–24, 2022	1,053 (LV)	± 3.0%	39%	47%	14%
Emerson College	October 6–7, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	43%	45%	12%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	751 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	45%	8%
Emerson College	August 28–29, 2022	600 (LV)	± 3.9%	46%	51%	3%
PEM Management Corporation (R)^[T]	July 22–24, 2022	300 (LV)	± 5.7%	40%	48%	12%
East Carolina University	June 6–9, 2022	868 (RV)	± 3.9%	40%	47%	13%
Blueprint Polling (D)	March 2–8, 2022	662 (V)	± 3.9%	36%	50%	14%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)^[A]	November 11–16, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	48%	7%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Fox News	April 11–16, 2024	1,128 (RV)	± 3.0%	39%	46%	7%	1%	2%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	April 8–15, 2024	802 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	45%	7%	1%	1%	6%
Wall Street Journal	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	35%	38%	8%	2%	1%	16%
Emerson College	March 5–7, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	37%	44%	5%	2%	1%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	March 8–12, 2024	788 (RV)	± 3.0%	38%	45%	7%	2%	0%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	February 12–20, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.0%	38%	45%	6%	1%	1%	9%
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	36%	45%	6%	1%	1%	11%
Fox News	January 26–30, 2024	1,119 (RV)	± 3.0%	37%	45%	8%	3%	1%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	January 16–21, 2024	798 (RV)	± 3.0%	37%	44%	8%	1%	1%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	November 27 – December 6, 2023	801 (RV)	± 3.0%	37%	44%	6%	2%	1%	10%
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail	November 27 – December 1, 2023	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	41%	45%	2%	1%	0%	10%^[k]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	March 14–17, 2024	760 (LV)	–	41%	44%	6%	9%
Marist College	March 11–14, 2024	1,177 (RV)	± 3.7%	40%	45%	14%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	December 28–30, 2023	953 (LV)	–	34%	42%	8%	16%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	746 (LV)	–	35%	45%	7%	14%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	629 (LV)	± 4.5	29%	36%	24%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 7–9, 2023	761 (LV)	–	38%	41%	8%	13%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
CNN/SSRS	November 30 – December 7, 2023	1068 (RV)	± 3.3%	34%	42%	15%	6%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 30 – November 7, 2023	803 (RV)	± 3.0%	34%	43%	10%	1%	12%
Zogby Analytics	October 9–12, 2023	628 (LV)	± 3.9%	36%	44%	15%	5%	–

Hypothetical polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	51%	8%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	629 (RV)	± 4.5%	44%	45%	11%

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	32%	51%	17%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Other / Undecided
CNN/SSRS	November 30 – December 7, 2023	1,068 (RV)	± 3.3%	43%	49%	8%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	629 (RV)	± 4.5%	40%	45%	15%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	746 (LV)	–	35%	27%	17%	5%	15%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	629 (RV)	± 4.5%	44%	45%	11%
Public Opinion Strategies	May 15–17, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	45%	–
Public Opinion Strategies	April 25–27, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	47%	11%
Emerson College	November 28–30, 2022	888 (LV)	± 3.2%	43%	47%	10%
University of Massachusetts Lowell	November 18–28, 2022	1,300 (LV)	± 3.2%	46%	47%	7%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	751 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	42%	11%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	746 (LV)	–	36%	34%	14%	4%	12%

Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Mike Pence Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies	May 15–17, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	44%	43%	–

Joe Biden vs. generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Generic Republican	Undecided
Cygnal (R)^[S]	June 5–7, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4%	38%	48%	14%

Illinois[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	October 1–4, 2023	468 (RV)	± 4.5%	43%	34%	23%
Cor Stratagies^[8]	August 24–27, 2023	811 (RV)	–	55%	35%	10%
Emerson College	October 20–24, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	37%	14%
Public Policy Polling	October 10–11, 2022	770 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	42%	7%
Emerson College	September 21–23, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	38%	11%

Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
Cor Stratagies^[8]	August 24–27, 2023	811 (RV)	–	53%	35%	12%

J. B. Pritzker vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	J. B. Pritzker Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling	October 10–11, 2022	770 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	42%	7%

Indiana[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	March 2–5, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	55%	34%	11%
Emerson College	October 1–4, 2023	462 (RV)	± 4.5%	48%	29%	24%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	March 2–5, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	44.5%	28.7%	26.8%

Iowa[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Selzer & Co.^[U]	February 25–28, 2024	640 (LV)	± 3.9%	48%	33%	19%^[V]
Cygnal (R)^[W]	February 13–14, 2024	600 (LV)	± 3.9%	49%	40%	11%
John Zogby Strategies	January 2–4, 2024	500 (LV)	–	51%	39%	10%
Emerson College	December 15–17, 2023	1,094 (RV)	± 2.9%	48%	40%	12%
Emerson College	May 19–22, 2023	1,064 (RV)	± 2.9%	49%	38%	13%
Emerson College	October 2–4, 2022	959 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	39%	14%
Cygnal (R)^[W]	October 2–4, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	41%	8%
Cygnal (R)^[W]	July 13–14, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	40%	9%
Cygnal (R)^[l]^[W]	February 20–22, 2022	610 (LV)	± 3.9%	53%	38%	9%
Selzer & Co.	November 7–10, 2021	658 (LV)	± 3.8%	51%	40%	9%
Cygnal (R)^[W]	October 18–19, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	54%	41%	5%

Hypothetical polling

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	May 19–22, 2023	1,064 (RV)	± 2.9%	45%	38%	17%

Kansas[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	October 1–4, 2023	487 (RV)	± 4.4%	47%	31%	22%
Emerson College	October 27–29, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	37%	13%
Emerson College	September 15–18, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	36%	12%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	392 (LV)	± 7.5%	52%	41%	7%

Hypothetical polling

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	392 (LV)	± 7.5%	50%	39%	11%

Louisiana[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	506 (LV)	± 6.5%	51%	36%	13%

Hypothetical polling

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	506 (LV)	± 6.5%	46%	33%	21%

Maine[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research	February 6–14, 2024	791 (LV)	± 3.5%	31%	38%	30%^[m]
Digital Research	October 3 – November 2, 2023	614 (RV)	± 3.9%	36%	35%	29%^[n]
Emerson College	September 19–20, 2022	1,164 (LV)	± 2.8%	51%	40%	9%

Maine's 1st congressional district[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research	February 6–14, 2024	791 (LV)	± 3.5%	39%	31%	31%^[o]
Digital Research	October 3 – November 2, 2023	307 (RV)	–	43%	27%	30%

Maine's 2nd congressional district[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research	February 6–14, 2024	791 (LV)	± 3.5%	25%	45%	30%^[p]
Digital Research	October 3 – November 2, 2023	307 (RV)	–	28%	42%	30%

Maryland[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other	Undecided
Emerson College	February 12–13, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	55%	32%	–	13%
Gonzales Research	January 23–February 2, 2024	815 (RV)	± 3.5%	53%	32%	–	15%
Gonzales Research	September 18–28, 2023	818 (LV)	± 3.5%	56%	30%	–	13%
Gonzales Research	May 30–June 6, 2023	841 (RV)	± 3.5%	52%	35%	–	13%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other	Undecided
Gonzales Research	January 23–February 2, 2024	815 (RV)	± 3.5%	45%	28%	18%	–	9%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other	Undecided
Emerson College	February 12−13, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	32%	6%	1%	1%	–	13%

Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Other	Undecided
Gonzales Research	January 23–February 2, 2024	815 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	36%	–	14%
Gonzales Research	September 18–28, 2023	818 (LV)	± 3.5%	53%	36%	–	11%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other	Undecided
Gonzales Research	September 18–28, 2023	818 (LV)	± 3.5%	56%	35%	–	9%
Gonzales Research	May 30–June 6, 2023	841 (RV)	± 3.5%	51%	37%	–	12%

Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Vivek Ramaswamy Republican	Other	Undecided
Gonzales Research	September 18–28, 2023	818 (LV)	± 3.5%	56%	29%	–	15%

Massachusetts[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Suffolk University^[X]	April 16–20, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	52%	22%	8%	18%
Suffolk University	February 2–5, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	45%	26%	9%	21%
YouGov^[Y]	October 13–20, 2023	700 (V)	± 5.1%	43%	21%	17%	19%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
University of Massachusetts Lowell	October 18–25, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 4.1%	58%	32%	10%
Emerson College	September 7–8, 2022	708 (LV)	± 3.6%	54%	34%	12%
University of Massachusetts Lowell	June 7–15, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 4.0%	60%	31%	9%

Michigan[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Fox News	April 11–16, 2024	1,126 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	49%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	April 8–15, 2024	708 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	45%	8%
Marketing Resource Group	April 8–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	36%	42%	22%^[q]
The Bullfinch Group	March 29 – April 3, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	39%	19%
Spry Strategies	March 25–28, 2024	709 (LV)	± 3.7%	44%	48%	8%
Wall Street Journal	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	48%	7%
Echelon Insights^[Z]	March 12–19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 5.3%	45%	51%	4%
Emerson College	March 14–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	50%	–
CNN/SSRS	March 13–18, 2024	1,097 (RV)	± 3.6%	42%	50%	8%
Mitchell Research^[AA]	March 15–16, 2024	627 (LV)	± 3.9%	44%	47%	9%
Quinnipiac University	March 8–12, 2024	1,487 (RV)	± 2.5%	45%	48%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	March 8–12, 2024	698 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	45%	10%
North Star Opinion Research^[AB]	February 22–25, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	43%	13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	February 12–20, 2024	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	46%	10%
Emerson College	February 20–24, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	44%	46%	10%
EPIC-MRA	February 13–18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	45%	14%
Fox News	February 8–12, 2024	1,106 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	47%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	January 16–21, 2024	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	47%	7%
Target Insyght	January 4–10, 2024	800 (RV)	–	45%	41%	14%
Glengariff Group^[AC]	January 2–6, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	39%	47%	14%
John Zogby Strategies	January 2–4, 2024	602 (LV)	–	44%	47%	9%
CNN/SSRS	November 29 – December 6, 2023	1,197 (RV)	± 3.4%	40%	50%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	November 27 – December 6, 2023	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	46%	12%
EPIC-MRA	November 10–16, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	46%	13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 30 – November 7, 2023	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	43%	43%	14%
Emerson College	October 30 – November 4, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	41%	16%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	43%	48%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 5–10, 2023	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	44%	12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 7–9, 2023	820 (LV)	–	41%	41%	17%
Marketing Resource Group	October 2–8, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	35%	42%	22%
Emerson College	October 1–4, 2023	468 (RV)	± 4.5%	44%	43%	8%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[AD]	September 26–27, 2023	679 (RV)	± 3.8%	48%	44%	8%
Susquehanna Polling & Research	September 7–12, 2023	700 (RV)	± 3.7%	46%	43%	11%
EPIC-MRA	August 6–11, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	9%
Emerson College	August 1–2, 2023	1,121 (LV)	± 2.9%	44%	44%	13%
Mitchell Research^[AA]	July 11–13, 2023	639 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	43%	13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[AE]	Jul 8–10, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.38%	45%	44%	9%
Prime Group^[AF]	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	50%	50%	–
Prime Group^[AF]	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	40%	43%	17%^[r]
EPIC-MRA	June 8–14, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	44%	12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[AE]	April 17–19, 2023	500 (V)	± 3.6%	45%	42%	12%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[AG]	December 6–7, 2022	763 (V)	± 3.6%	50%	43%	7%
EPIC-MRA	November 30 – December 6, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	43%	10%
Emerson College	October 28–31, 2022	900 (LV)	± 3.2%	44%	47%	9%
Emerson College	October 12–14, 2022	580 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	44%	12%
EPIC-MRA	September 15–19, 2022	600 (LV)	–	48%	44%	8%
Blueprint Polling (D)	August 15–16, 2022	611 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	41%	19%
Blueprint Polling (D)	February 1–4, 2022	632 (LV)	± 3.9%	38%	40%	22%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)^[A]	November 11–16, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	53%	6%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Fox News	April 11–16, 2024	1,126 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	42%	9%	2%	2%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	April 8–15, 2024	708 (RV)	± 4.0%	43%	40%	7%	1%	1%	8%
Marketing Resource Group	April 8–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	34%	37%	13%	2%	1%	13%
Wall Street Journal	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	37%	39%	12%	2%	2%	8%
Emerson College	March 14–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	43%	5%	1%	1%	10%
Mitchell Research^[AA]	March 15–16, 2024	627 (LV)	± 3.9%	42%	44%	6%	1%	1%	6%
Quinnipiac University	March 8–12, 2024	1,487 (RV)	± 2.5%	36%	41%	10%	3%	4%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	March 8–12, 2024	698 (RV)	± 4.0%	40%	40%	9%	3%	2%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	February 12–20, 2024	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	40%	41%	9%	1%	1%	8%
Emerson College	February 20–24, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	39%	42%	6%	1%	1%	11%
Fox News	February 8–12, 2024	1,106 (RV)	± 3.0%	37%	42%	11%	2%	3%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	January 16–21, 2024	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	37%	43%	8%	1%	1%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	November 27 – December 6, 2023	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	35%	39%	10%	2%	1%	13%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Spry Strategies	March 25–28, 2024	709 (LV)	± 3.7%	40%	43%	9%	8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	March 14–17, 2024	616 (LV)	–	39%	41%	6%	14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	December 28–30, 2023	832 (LV)	–	37%	39%	9%	15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	874 (LV)	–	38%	39%	9%	13%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (LV)	± 4.4%	31%	34%	26%	9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 7–9, 2023	820 (LV)	–	38%	40%	7%	15%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
CNN/SSRS	March 13–18, 2024	1,097 (RV)	± 3.6%	34%	40%	18%	4%	4%
CNN/SSRS	November 29 – December 6, 2023	1,197 (RV)	± 3.4%	31%	39%	20%	6%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 30 – November 7, 2023	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	38%	37%	10%	2%	13%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Green	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	August 1–2, 2023	1,121 (LV)	± 2.9%	41%	43%	4%	11%

Hypothetical polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	47%	8%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Gretchen Whitmer Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College/The Hill	Mar 14–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	45%	6%
Marketing Resource Group	October 2–8, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	40%	13%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Other / Undecided
Fox News	February 8–12, 2024	1,106 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	43%	15%
Glengariff Group^[AH]	January 2–6, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	34%	44%	22%
CNN/SSRS	November 29 – December 6, 2023	1,197 (RV)	± 3.4%	38%	50%	12%
EPIC-MRA	November 10–16, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	36%	47%	17%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	36%	46%	18%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Fox News	February 8–12, 2024	1,106 (RV)	± 3.0%	35%	26%	23%	3%	3%	33%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	874 (LV)	–	37%	25%	18%	20%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
CNN/SSRS	November 29 – December 6, 2023	1,197 (RV)	± 3.4%	42%	49%	9%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	44%	43%	13%
Susquehanna Polling & Research	September 7–12, 2023	700 (RV)	± 3.7%	48%	42%	10%
Mitchell Research^[AA]	July 11–13, 2023	639 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	31%	25%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[AE]	July 8–10, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.38%	44%	46%	7%
EPIC-MRA	June 8–14, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	45%	11%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)^[AE]	April 17–19, 2023	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	43%	45%	12%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	874 (LV)	–	39%	30%	13%	2%	15%

Minnesota[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
SurveyUSA^[AI]	April 3–7, 2024	608 (LV)	± 4.9%	44%	42%	14%^[s]
SurveyUSA^[AI]	February 23–28, 2024	1,603 (LV)	± 2.8%	42%	38%	20%
SurveyUSA^[AI]	January 24–29, 2024	1,594 (LV)	± 2.8%	42%	39%	19%
Embold Research/MinnPost	November 14–17, 2023	1,519 (LV)	± 2.6%	45%	42%	13%
Emerson College	October 1–4, 2023	477 (LV)	± 4.4%	40%	38%	22%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	May 6–8, 2023	500 (LV)	–	48%	40%	12%

Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	May 6–8, 2023	500 (LV)	–	45%	43%	12%

Mississippi[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	409 (LV)	± 7.8%	54%	36%	10%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	409 (LV)	± 7.8%	49%	37%	14%

Missouri[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	January 23–28, 2024	1,830 (RV)	± 2.2%	49%	32%	19%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout	October 10–11, 2023	806 (RV)	± 3.6%	52%	39%	9%
SurveyUSA	October 27 – November 1, 2022	991 (RV)	± 3.7%	52%	34%	14%
Emerson College	October 26–28, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	53%	37%	9%
Emerson College	September 23–27, 2022	1,160 (LV)	± 2.8%	51%	37%	12%
SurveyUSA	September 14–18, 2022	830 (RV)	± 3.9%	52%	35%	13%
SurveyUSA	July 24–27, 2022	1,981 (RV)	± 2.7%	51%	35%	14%
SurveyUSA	May 11–15, 2022	1,412 (LV)	± 3.2%	50%	35%	15%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout	September 18–20, 2021	1,014 (LV)	± 2.9%	55%	36%	9%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout	April 21–22, 2021	933 (LV)	± 3.0%	53%	38%	9%

Montana[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College^[AJ]	February 26 – March 2, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	56%	35%	9%
SurveyUSA^[t]	February 12–15, 2024	549 (LV)	± 4.5%	51%	29%	20%
Emerson College	October 1–4, 2023	447 (RV)	± 4.6%	49%	28%	23%
Change Research/Future Majority (D)	September 16–19, 2023	1,451 (RV)	–	54%	37%	9%
J.L. Partners	August 12–17, 2023	741 (LV)	–	51%	39%	10%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	320 (LV)	± 6.6%	49%	36%	15%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Emerson College^[AK]	February 26 – March 2, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	28%	8%	1%	1%	13%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D)	September 16–19, 2023	1,451 (RV)	–	51%	30%	7%	12%

Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Joe Manchin Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D)	September 16–19, 2023	1,451 (RV)	–	49%	28%	6%	4%	13%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
J.L. Partners	August 12–17, 2023	741 (LV)	–	50%	36%	14%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	320 (LV)	± 6.6%	42%	35%	23%

Nebraska[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Change Research (D)^[AL]	November 13–16, 2023	1,048 (LV)	–	53%	35%	12%
Emerson College	October 1–4, 2023	423 (RV)	± 4.7%	47%	31%	23%

Nevada[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	April 8–15, 2024	450 (RV)	± 5.0%	43%	51%	6%
Wall Street Journal	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	48%	8%
Echelon Insights^[AM]	March 12–19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 5.8%	44%	51%	5%
Emerson College	March 12–15, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	51%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	March 8–15, 2024	447 (RV)	± 5.0%	44%	46%	10%
Noble Predictive Insights	February 27 – March 5, 2024	829 (RV)	± 3.4%	40%	45%	15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	February 12–20, 2024	445 (RV)	± 5.0%	42%	48%	10%
Emerson College	February 16–19, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	46%	14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	January 16–21, 2024	457 (RV)	± 5.0%	40%	48%	12%
Emerson College	January 5–8, 2024	1,294 (RV)	± 2.6%	45%	47%	8%
Change Research/Future Majority (D)	December 3–7, 2023	(RVs)	–	40%	44%	14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	November 27 – December 6, 2023	451 (RV)	± 5.0%	44%	47%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 30 – November 7, 2023	437 (RV)	± 5.0%	43%	46%	11%
Emerson College	October 30 – November 4, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	39%	46%	14%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	611 (RV)	± 4.4%	41%	52%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 5–10, 2023	503 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	43%	11%
CNN	September 29 – October 3, 2023	1,251 (RV)	± 4.6%	46%	45%	9%
Vote TXT	May 15–19, 2023	412 (RV)	–	41%	48%	11%
Prime Group^[AN]	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	51%	49%	–
Prime Group^[AN]	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	39%	39%	22%^[u]
Noble Predictive Insights	April 18–26, 2023	613 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	40%	12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	April 17–20, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	45%	9%
OH Predictive Insights	January 30 – February 6, 2023	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	40%	42%	18%
Rasmussen Reports (R)	November 8–9, 2022	679 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	45%	14%
Susquehanna Polling & Research	October 24–27, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.3%	47%	48%	5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)^[AO]	October 13–17, 2022	707 (LV)	± 4.0%	37%	49%	14%
Emerson College	September 8–10, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	40%	43%	17%
Emerson College	July 7–10, 2022	2,000 (RV)	± 2.1%	40%	43%	17%
Blueprint Polling (D)	March 21–24, 2022	671 (LV)	± 3.8%	34%	44%	22%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	April 8–15, 2024	450 (RV)	± 5.0%	34%	48%	7%	2%	3%	6%
Wall Street Journal	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	33%	37%	15%	2%	2%	11%^[v]
Emerson College	March 12–15, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	36%	41%	9%	1%	2%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	March 8–15, 2024	447 (RV)	± 5.0%	36%	42%	11%	1%	1%	11%
Noble Predictive Insights	February 27 – March 5, 2024	829 (RV)	± 3.4%	33%	40%	11%	4%	2%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	February 12–20, 2024	445 (RV)	± 5.0%	37%	44%	9%	1%	0%	9%
Emerson College	February 16–19, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	34%	44%	6%	1%	1%	14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	January 16–21, 2024	457 (RV)	± 5.0%	31%	43%	12%	1%	2%	11%
Emerson College	January 5–8, 2024	1,294 (RV)	± 2.6%	39%	42%	5%	1%	1%	12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	November 27 – December 6, 2023	451 (RV)	± 5.0%	37%	42%	11%	2%	1%	7%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	611 (LV)	±4.4	31%	38%	23%	8%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 30 – November 7, 2023	437 (RV)	± 5.0%	35%	39%	11%	1%	14%

Hypothetical polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	February 16–19, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	39%	48%	13%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	611 (LV)	± 4.4%	42%	48%	10%

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	February 16–19, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	32%	49%	19%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	611 (LV)	± 4.4%	42%	48%	10%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	611 (RV)	± 4.4%	37%	46%	17%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	611 (RV)	± 4.4%	41%	45%	14%
Vote TXT	May 15–19, 2023	412 (RV)	–	36%	46%	17%
Noble Predictive Insights	April 18–26, 2023	613 (RV)	± 4.0%	43%	42%	15%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	April 17–20, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	41%	44%	10%
OH Predictive Insights	January 30 – February 6, 2023	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	36%	42%	22%
Emerson College	July 7–10, 2022	2,000 (RV)	± 2.1%	38%	43%	19%

Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research	October 24–27, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.3%	42%	46%	12%

New Hampshire[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other/ Undecided
Marist College	January 15–17, 2024	1,157 (RV)	± 3.8%	52%	45%	3%
Emerson College	November 10–13, 2023	917 (RV)	± 3.3%	47%	42%	11%
University of New Hampshire/CNN	September 14–18, 2023	2,108 (LV)	± 2.2%	52%	40%	8%
Emerson College	August 9–11, 2023	837 (RV)	± 3.4%	48%	41%	11%
Saint Anselm College	June 21–23, 2023	1,065 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	40%	11%
Emerson College	March 3–5, 2023	1,025 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	38%	20%
co/efficient	January 25–26, 2023	1,179 (LV)	± 3.15%	40%	39%	21%
Emerson College	October 30 – November 1, 2022	850 (LV)	± 3.3%	45%	41%	14%
University of Massachusetts Lowell	October 14–25, 2022	600 (LV)	± 5.1%	49%	43%	8%
Emerson College	October 18–19, 2022	727 (LV)	± 3.6%	44%	43%	13%
Emerson College	September 14–15, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	46%	43%	11%
University of New Hampshire	June 16–20, 2022	845 (LV)	± 3.2%	50%	43%	8%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	December 10–12, 2021	1,041 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	–
Saint Anselm College^[T]	May 7–10, 2021	1,267 (RV)	± 2.8%	50%	43%	–

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	November 10–13, 2023	917 (RV)	± 3.3%	40%	37%	8%	1%	14%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Marist College	January 15–17, 2024	1,157 (RV)	± 3.8%	44%	41%	12%	3%
Saint Anselm College	December 18–19, 2023	1,711 (LV)	± 3.9%	49%	39%	8%	4%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Green	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	August 9–11, 2023	837 (RV)	± 3.4%	44%	39%	5%	13%

Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Other / Undecided
Marist College	January 15–17, 2024	1,157 (RV)	± 3.8%	44%	47%	9%
Emerson College	November 10–13, 2023	917 (RV)	± 3.3%	39%	45%	16%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other	Undecided
Marist College	January 15–17, 2024	1,157 (RV)	± 3.8%	51%	42%	–	7%
Emerson College	November 10–13, 2023	917 (RV)	± 3.3%	46%	38%	–	16%
University of New Hampshire/CNN	September 14–18, 2023	2,108 (LV)	± 2.2%	50%	33%	15%^[w]	5%
Saint Anselm College	June 21–23, 2023	1,065 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	40%	10	2%
Emerson College	March 3–5, 2023	1,025 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	37%	14%	7%
University of New Hampshire	June 16–20, 2022	845 (LV)	± 3.2%	46%	47%	7%

Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Vivek Ramaswamy Republican	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN	September 14–18, 2023	2,018 (LV)	± 2.2%	49%	20%	15%^[x]	5%

Joe Biden vs. Tim Scott

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Tim Scott Republican	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN	September 14–18, 2023	2,018 (LV)	± 2.2%	47%	34%	14%^[y]	5%

Joe Biden vs. Chris Christie

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Chris Christie Republican	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN	September 14–18, 2023	2,018 (LV)	± 2.2%	44%	20%	27%^[z]	10%

Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Mike Pence Republican	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN	September 14–18, 2023	2,018 (LV)	± 2.2%	49%	20%	25%^[aa]	5%

Joe Biden vs. Chris Sununu

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Chris Sununu Republican	Other	Undecided
Emerson College	March 3–5, 2023	1,025 (RV)	± 3.0%	36%	44%	14%	6%
co/efficient	January 25–26, 2023	1,179 (LV)	± 3.15%	36%	48%	–	16%
Praecones Analytica	April 14–16, 2022	503 (RV)	± 4.6%	36%	53%	–	12%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)	December 10–12, 2021	1,041 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	6%

Bernie Sanders vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Bernie Sanders Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided
Emerson College	November 10–13, 2023	917 (RV)	± 3.3%	47.6%	42.5%	9.8%

Elizabeth Warren vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Elizabeth Warren Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided
Emerson College	November 10–13, 2023	917 (RV)	± 3.3%	45%	43%	12%

New Jersey[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	March 26–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	39%	15%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	March 26–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	36%	8%	1%	1%	13%

New Mexico[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)	August 23–24, 2023	767 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	41%	10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	May 6–8, 2023	500 (LV)	–	49%	38%	13%
Emerson College	October 25–28, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	38%	14%
Emerson College	September 8–11, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	41%	12%

Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)	August 23–24, 2023	767 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	43%	9%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	May 6–8, 2023	500 (LV)	–	45%	43%	12%

New York[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
Siena College	February 12–14, 2024	806 (RV)	± 4.2%	42%	32%	13%	6%	7%
Siena College	January 14–17, 2024	807 (RV)	± 4.5%	41%	32%	13%	3%	11%
Siena College	November 12–15, 2023	803 (RV)	± 4.6%	37%	28%	18%	5%	11%
Siena College	October 15–19, 2023	1,225 (RV)	± 3.4%	38%	31%	13%	5%	12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Siena College	April 15–17, 2024	806 (RV)	± 4.1%	47%	37%	16%
Siena College	February 12–14, 2024	806 (RV)	± 4.2%	48%	36%	16%
Siena College	January 14–17, 2024	807 (RV)	± 4.5%	46%	37%	17%
Siena College	November 12–15, 2023	803 (RV)	± 4.6%	46%	36%	18%
Siena College	October 15–19, 2023	1,225 (RV)	± 3.4%	46%	37%	17%
Siena College	August 13–16, 2023	803 (RV)	± 4.4%	47%	34%	19%
Siena College	June 20–25, 2023	817 (RV)	± 3.9%	50%	28%	21%
SurveyUSA	November 3–6, 2022	918 (RV)	± 4.1%	46%	34%	20%
Emerson College	October 20–24, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	40%	13%
SurveyUSA	October 14–18, 2022	1,018 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	37%	21%
Emerson College	September 4–6, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	53%	37%	10%
SurveyUSA	August 17–21, 2022	715 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	29%	22%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)	August 7–9, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	40%	8%

North Carolina[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	April 8–15, 2024	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	51%	41%	8%
Mason-Dixon	April 9–13, 2024	635 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	43%	8%
Quinnipiac University	April 4–8, 2024	1,401 (RV)	± 2.6%	48%	46%	6%
High Point University	March 22–30, 2024	829(RV)	± 3.4%	45%	42%	14%
Wall Street Journal	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	43%	8%
Marist College	March 11–14, 2024	1,197 (RV)	± 3.6%	51%	48%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	March 8–12, 2024	699 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	43%	8%
SurveyUSA^[AP]	March 3–9, 2024	598 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	45%	5%
Cygnal (R)^[AQ]	March 6–7, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	40%	15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	February 12–20, 2024	704 (RV)	± 5.0%	50%	41%	9%
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	44%	9%
Fox News	February 8–12, 2024	1,099 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	45%	5%
Meredith College	January 26–31, 2024	760 (RV)	± 3.5%	44%	39%	17%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	January 16–21, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	39%	12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	November 27 – December 6, 2023	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	40%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 30 – November 7, 2023	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	39%	13%
Meredith College	November 1–5, 2023	755 (RV)	± 3.5%	39%	40%	22%^[ab]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 5–10, 2023	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	43%	10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 7–9, 2023	736 (LV)	–	43%	38%	20%
Change Research (D)^[AR]	September 1–5, 2023	914 (LV)	± 3.6%	46%	42%	12%
Prime Group^[AS]	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	54%	46%	–
Prime Group^[AS]	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	45%	37%	18%^[ac]
Opinion Diagnostics	June 5–7, 2023	902 (LV)	± 3.3%	43%	40%	18%
Cygnal (R)^[AQ]	March 26–27, 2023	605 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	45%	12%
Differentiators (R)^[AT]	January 9–12, 2023	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	45%	48%	7%
Emerson College	October 27–29, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	40%	9%
Public Policy Polling (D)	October 7–8, 2022	606 (RV)	–	44%	44%	12%
SurveyUSA	September 28 – October 2, 2022	918 (RV)	± 3.9%	43%	45%	12%
Emerson College	September 15–16, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	42%	11%
East Carolina University	September 7–10, 2022	1,020 (LV)	± 3.6%	46%	45%	9%
Blueprint Polling (D)	August 4–6, 2022	656 (LV)	± 3.8%	45%	39%	17%
PEM Management Corporation (R)^[T]	July 22–24, 2022	300 (LV)	± 5.7%	48%	41%	11%
East Carolina University	May 19–20, 2022	635 (RV)	± 4.5%	46%	37%	16%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	April 8–15, 2024	703 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	38%	5%	1%	0%	8%
Quinnipiac University	April 4–8, 2024	1,401 (RV)	± 2.6%	41%	38%	12%	3%	3%	3%
Wall Street Journal	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	34%	10%	2%	1%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	March 8–12, 2024	699 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	39%	7%	1%	0%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	February 12–20, 2024	704 (RV)	± 5.0%	45%	35%	9%	1%	1%	9%
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	37%	5%	1%	1%	10%
Fox News	February 8–12, 2024	1,099 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	37%	8%	1%	2%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	January 16–21, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	32%	9%	1%	1%	12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	November 27 – December 6, 2023	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	34%	8%	1%	1%	11%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Meredith College	April 11–17, 2024	711 (LV)	± 3.5%	41%	39%	9%	11%
Cygnal (R)^[AQ]	April 7–8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	39%	7%	11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	March 14–17, 2024	642 (LV)	–	43%	39%	8%	10%
Marist College	March 11–14, 2024	1,197 (RV)	± 3.6%	46%	43%	11%	–
North Star Opinion Research^[AU]	January 30 – February 4, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	39%	32%	16%	13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	December 28–30, 2023	1,220 (LV)	–	37%	33%	11%	19%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	620 (LV)	–	44%	35%	8%	13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 7–9, 2023	736 (LV)	–	41%	38%	9%	14%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 30 – November 7, 2023	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	33%	9%	2%	14%

Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	41%	9%

Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	34%	17%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Fox News	February 8–12, 2024	1,099 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	41%	13%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Fox News	February 8–12, 2024	1,099 (RV)	± 3.0%	31%	33%	19%	2%	2%	13%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	620 (LV)	–	36%	33%	12%	18%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Opinion Diagnostics	June 5–7, 2023	902 (LV)	± 3.3%	46%	40%	13%
Cygnal (R)^[AQ]	March 26–27, 2023	605 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	41%	15%
Differentiators (R)^[AT]	January 9–12, 2023	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	49%	44%	7%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	620 (LV)	–	38%	34%	12%	4%	12%

Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Mike Pence Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Cygnal (R)^[AQ]	March 26–27, 2023	605 (LV)	± 4.0%	39%	41%	20%

Ohio[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	March 13–15, 2024	818 (RV)	± 3.4%	51%	40%	9%
Ohio Northern University	March 6–11, 2024	1,241 (LV)	± 3.3%	50%	38%	12%
Emerson College^[AV]	March 7–10, 2024	1,300 (RV)	± 2.6%	55%	45%	–
Emerson College^[AV]	January 23–25, 2024	1,844 (RV)	± 2.3%	47%	36%	17%
Emerson College/WJW-TV	November 10–13, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	38%	12%
Data for Progress (D)	October 31 – November 2, 2023	597 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	43%	6%
Ohio Northern University	October 16–19, 2023	668 (RV)	± 3.8%	45%	40%	15%^[ad]
Emerson College	October 2–4, 2023	438 (RV)	± 4.5%	45%	33%	23%
Change Research/Future Majority (D)	September 16–19, 2023	1,559 (RV)	–	48%	43%	9%
Ohio Northern University	July 17–26, 2023	675 (RV)	± 3.7%	49%	39%	12%
Targoz Market Research	November 2–6, 2022	505 (LV)	± 4.3%	57%	40%	3%
Emerson College	October 30 – November 1, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	38%	12%
Ohio Northern University/Lucid	October 11–15, 2022	668 (LV)	–	55%	35%	10%
Emerson College	October 6–7, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	40%	12%
Emerson College	September 12–13, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	40%	10%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	831 (LV)	± 4.3%	49%	41%	10%
Emerson College	August 15–16, 2022	925 (LV)	± 3.2%	53%	39%	8%
PEM Management Corporation (R)^[T]	July 22–24, 2022	300 (LV)	± 5.7%	42%	44%	14%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
East Carolina University	March 8–11, 2024	1,298 (LV)	± 3.2%	48%	38%	5%	1%	1%	7%
Emerson College^[AV]	March 7–10, 2024	1,300 (RV)	± 2.6%	47%	38%	6%	1%	1%	7%
Emerson College/WJW-TV	November 10–13, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	31%	8%	1%	2%	13%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden. vs. Robert F Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Ohio Northern University	March 6–11, 2024	1,241 (LV)	± 3.3%	44%	32%	13%	11%
Ohio Northern University	October 16–19, 2023	668 (RV)	± 3.8%	42%	35%	11%	12%^[ae]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Cornel West Green	Other / Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D)	September 16–19, 2023	1,559 (RV)	–	45%	36%	9%	10%
Suffolk University	July 9–12, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	44%	38%	2%	16%

Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Joe Manchin Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D)	September 16–19, 2023	1,559 (RV)	–	42%	34%	6%	6%	12%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Ohio Northern University	March 6–11, 2024	1,241 (LV)	± 3.3%	51%	38%	11%

Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Other / Undecided
Ohio Northern University	March 6–11, 2024	1,241 (LV)	± 3.3%	51%	33%	16%

Donald Trump vs. Gretchen Whitmer

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Gretchen Whitmer Democratic	Other / Undecided
Ohio Northern University	March 6–11, 2024	1,241 (LV)	± 3.3%	51%	34%	15%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Ohio Northern University	October 16–19, 2023	668 (RV)	± 3.8%	34%	36%	30%^[af]
Ohio Northern University	July 17–26, 2023	675 (RV)	± 3.7%	38%	38%	24%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Ohio Northern University	October 16–19, 2023	668 (RV)	± 3.8%	38%	41%	21%^[ag]
Ohio Northern University	July 17–26, 2023	675 (RV)	± 3.7%	41%	39%	20%
Emerson College	October 6–7, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	38%	13%
Emerson College	September 12–13, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	38%	14%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	831 (LV)	± 4.3%	46%	40%	14%

Ron Desantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron Desantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Cornel West Green	Other / Undecided
Suffolk University	July 9–12, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	39%	37%	2%	22%

Chris Christie vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Chris Christie Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Ohio Northern University	July 17–26, 2023	675 (RV)	± 3.7%	33%	39%	28%

Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Mike Pence Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Ohio Northern University	October 16–19, 2023	668 (RV)	± 3.8%	38%	38%	24%^[ah]
Ohio Northern University	July 17–26, 2023	675 (RV)	± 3.7%	37%	38%	25%

Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Tim Scott Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Ohio Northern University	July 17–26, 2023	675 (RV)	± 3.7%	38%	39%	23%

Generic Republican vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Causeway Solutions	May 19–27, 2023	1,639 (RV)	± 2.5%	45%	33%	22%

Oklahoma[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	October 1–3, 2023	447 (RV)	± 4.6%	55%	27%	18%
Emerson College	October 25–28, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	59%	30%	11%
SoonerPoll	October 4–6, 2022	301 (LV)	± 5.7%	53%	41%	6%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	522 (LV)	± 6.3%	63%	30%	7%

Hypothetical polling

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	522 (LV)	± 6.3%	53%	28%	19%

Oregon[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	October 31 – November 1, 2022	975 (LV)	± 3.1%	51%	35%	14%
Emerson College	September 30 – October 1, 2022	796 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	41%	9%

Pennsylvania[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Fox News	April 11–16, 2024	1,141 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	April 8–15, 2024	803 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	47%	7%
The Bullfinch Group^[AW]	March 29 – April 3, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	38%	44%	18%^[ai]
Franklin & Marshall College	March 20–31, 2024	870 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	38%	14%
Wall Street Journal	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	47%	9%
Echelon Insights^[AX]	March 12–19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 5.5%	45%	49%	6%
CNN/SSRS	March 13–18, 2024	1,132 (RV)	± 3.8%	46%	46%	8%
Emerson College	March 10–13, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	52%	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	March 8–12, 2024	807 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	45%	10%
Fox News	March 7–11, 2024	1,149 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%
Susquehanna Polling & Research	February 27 – March 7, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	50%	45%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	February 12–20, 2024	803 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	49%	8%
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	45%	12%
Chism Strategies	February 6–8, 2024	500 (RV)	± 5.0%	32%	40%	28%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	January 22–25, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	48%	10%
Franklin & Marshall College	January 17–28, 2024	507 (RV)	± 5.0%	43%	42%	15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	January 16–21, 2024	795 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	48%	7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research	January 15–21, 2024	745 (RV)	± 3.7%	47%	39%	14%
Quinnipiac University	January 4–8, 2024	1,680 (RV)	± 2.4%	49%	46%	5%^[aj]
The Bullfinch Group	December 14–18, 2023	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	45%	10%
Change Research/Future Majority (D)	December 3–7, 2023	(RVs)	–	40%	46%	14%
Muhlenberg College	November 20 – December 13, 2023	421 (RV)	± 6.0%	42%	41%	17%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	November 27 – December 6, 2023	799 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	46%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 30 – November 7, 2023	805 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	47%	9%
Emerson College	October 30 – November 4, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	46%	11%
Emerson College	October 30 – November 4, 2023	816 (LV)	–	45%	49%	6%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	600 (RV)	± 4.6%	44%	48%	8%
Franklin & Marshall College	October 11–22, 2023	873 (RV)	± 4.1%	44%	42%	14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 5–10, 2023	807 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	46%	9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 7–9, 2023	900 (LV)	–	43%	42%	15%
Emerson College	October 1–4, 2023	430 (RV)	± 4.7%	36%	45%	19%
Quinnipiac University	September 28 – October 2, 2023	1,725 (RV)	± 2.4%	45%	47%	8%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[AY]	September 25–26, 2023	673 (RV)	± 3.8%	48%	45%	7%
Prime Group^[AZ]	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	50%	50%	–
Prime Group^[AZ]	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	38%	43%	19%^[ak]
Quinnipiac University	June 22–26, 2023	1,584 (RV)	± 2.5%	46%	47%	7%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	April 11–13, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	42%	12%
Franklin & Marshall College	March 27 – April 7, 2023	643 (RV)	± 4.9%	36%	35%	29%
Susquehanna Polling & Research	February 19–26, 2023	800 (RV)	± 3.2%	48%	41%	11%
Targoz Market Research	November 2–6, 2022	631 (LV)	± 3.8%	46%	52%	2%
Emerson College	October 28–31, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	44%	44%	12%
Emerson College	September 23–26, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	45%	46%	9%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	828 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	43%	9%
Emerson College	August 22–23, 2022	1,034 (LV)	± 3.0%	42%	47%	11%
PEM Management Corporation (R)^[T]	July 22–24, 2022	300 (LV)	± 5.7%	42%	44%	14%
Blueprint Polling (D)	July 19–21, 2022	712 (LV)	± 3.7%	42%	41%	17%
Blueprint Polling (D)	February 15–16, 2022	635 (LV)	± 3.9%	45%	40%	15%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)^[A]	November 11–16, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	51%	4%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Fox News	April 11–16, 2024	1,141 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	44%	8%	1%	2%	3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	April 8–15, 2024	803 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	43%	8%	0%	1%	6%
Wall Street Journal	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	38%	41%	7%	3%	1%	10%
Emerson College	March 10–13, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	44%	5%	1%	1%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	March 8–12, 2024	807 (RV)	± 3.0%	38%	44%	7%	0%	1%	10%
Fox News	March 7–11, 2024	1,149 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	42%	9%	2%	2%	3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	February 12–20, 2024	803 (RV)	± 3.0%	36%	45%	8%	1%	1%	9%
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	37%	42%	8%	2%	1%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	January 16–21, 2024	795 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	43%	7%	1%	1%	8%
Quinnipiac University	January 4–8, 2023	1,680 (RV)	± 2.4%	41%	39%	11%	2%	4%	3%^[al]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	November 27 – December 6, 2023	799 (RV)	± 3.0%	38%	39%	9%	1%	1%	12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Franklin & Marshall College	March 20–31, 2024	870 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	40%	9%	3%	8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	March 14–17, 2024	775 (LV)	–	41%	44%	7%	1%	7%
Franklin & Marshall College	January 17–28, 2024	494 (RV)	± 5.0%	42%	37%	8%	2%	11%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
The Bullfinch Group^[BA]	March 22–26, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	44%	41%	7%	8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	December 28–30, 2023	1,069 (LV)	–	39%	40%	9%	12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	887 (LV)	–	37%	44%	7%	10%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.6	35%	35%	23%	7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 7–9, 2023	900 (LV)	–	39%	39%	9%	13%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
CNN/SSRS	March 13–18, 2024	1,132 (RV)	± 3.8%	38%	40%	16%	4%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 30 – November 7, 2023	805 (RV)	± 3.0%	38%	41%	8%	1%	12%

Hypothetical polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	49%	11%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	600 (RV)	± 4.6%	44%	47%	9%

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	33%	48%	19%

Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Josh Shapiro Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Muhlenberg College	November 20 – December 13, 2023	421 (RV)	± 6.0%	48%	37%	15%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Other / Undecided
Muhlenberg College	November 20 – December 13, 2023	421 (RV)	± 6.0%	33%	38%	29%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	600 (RV)	± 4.6%	39%	49%	12%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	887 (LV)	–	36%	26%	18%	7%	13%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
Muhlenberg College	November 20 – December 13, 2023	421 (RV)	± 6.0%	41%	39%	20%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	600 (RV)	± 4.6%	43%	47%	10%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)	May 2–8, 2023	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	39%	12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	April 11–13, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	45%	13%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	828 (LV)	± 3.5%	46%	42%	12%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	887 (LV)	–	37%	34%	13%	3%	12%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)	May 2–8, 2023	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	42%	38%	20%

Rhode Island[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Fleming & Associates	September 29 – October 2, 2022	402 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	32%	19%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	373 (LV)	± 6.1%	51%	37%	12%

Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	373 (LV)	± 6.1%	47%	36%	17%

South Carolina[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	February 14–16, 2024	1,197 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	37%	12%
The Citadel	February 5–11, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 4.1%	54%	35%	11%
Winthrop University	February 2–10, 2024	1,717 (RV)	± 2.4%	50%	35%	15%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	February 1–8, 2024	679 (RV)	± 3.8%	52%	34%	14%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	February 1–8, 2024	643 (LV)	± 3.8%	54%	36%	10%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	600 (LV)	± 5.1%	51%	39%	10%
Blueprint Polling (D)	August 24–25, 2022	721 (LV)	± 3.7%	46%	34%	20%

Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Jill Stein Green	Joe Manchin Independent	Other / Undecided
The Citadel	February 5–11, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 4.1%	49%	32%	9%	3%	4%	3%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
The Citadel	February 5–11, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 4.1%	50%	28%	22%
Winthrop University	February 2–10, 2024	1,717 (RV)	± 2.4%	47%	29%	24%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Jill Stein Green	Joe Manchin Independent	Other / Undecided
The Citadel	February 5–11, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 4.1%	41%	25%	20%	3%	4%	7%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	600 (LV)	± 5.1%	42%	42%	16%

South Dakota[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	January 23–28, 2024	1,777 (RV)	± 2.2%	55%	26%	18%
Emerson College	October 1–4, 2023	432 (RV)	± 4.7%	50%	28%	22%
Emerson College	October 19–21, 2022	1,500 (LV)	± 2.4%	53%	33%	14%

Tennessee[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Targoz Market Research^[BB]	March 15 – April 2, 2024	974 (LV)	± 2.8%	55%	31%	14%
Targoz Market Research^[BB]	December 14–28, 2023	929 (LV)	± 2.7%	63%	31%	5%
Siena College^[am]	November 5–10, 2023	805 (A)	–	49%	20%	31%
Targoz Market Research^[BB]	October 5–16, 2023	872 (LV)	± 2.8%	61%	30%	9%
Emerson College	October 1–4, 2023	410 (RV)	± 4.8%	55%	22%	23%
Targoz Market Research^[BB]	June 14–22, 2023	1,046 (V)	± 2.9%	54%	34%	11%
SSRS/Vanderbilt University	April 19–23, 2023	502 (RV)	–	42%	26%	31%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Targoz Market Research^[BB]	March 15 – April 2, 2024	974 (LV)	± 2.7%	47%	28%	15%	10%
Targoz Market Research^[BB]	December 14–28, 2023	933 (LV)	± 2.7%	51%	25%	16%	8%
SSRS/Vanderbilt University	November 14 – December 2, 2023	1,005 (RV)	± 3.4%	45%	26%	12%	17%
Targoz Market Research^[BB]	October 5–16, 2023	872 (LV)	± 2.8%	48%	23%	19%	10%

Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin as an Independent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Joe Manchin Independent	Other / Undecided
Targoz Market Research^[BB]	October 5–16, 2023	844 (LV)	± 2.8%	53%	23%	6%	18%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Targoz Market Research^[BB]	June 14–22, 2023	977 (V)	± 2.9%	52%	36%	11%
SSRS/Vanderbilt University	April 19–23, 2023	502 (RV)	–	33%	24%	40%

Texas[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Cygnal (R)	April 4–6, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 2.9%	51%	42%	7%
Marist College	March 18–21, 2024	1,117 (RV)	± 3.8%	55%	44%	1%
UT Tyler	February 18–26, 2024	1,167 (RV)	± 3.2%	46%	42%	12%
YouGov^[BC]	February 2–12, 2024	1,200 (RV)	± 3.4%	48%	41%	11%^[an]
University of Houston	January 11–24, 2024	1,145 (LV)	± 2.5%	49%	40%	11%
Emerson College^[BD]	January 13–15, 2024	1,315 (RV)	± 2.6%	49%	41%	10%
YouGov^[BC]	December 1–10, 2023	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	45%	39%	16%
YouGov^[BC]	October 5–17, 2023	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	45%	37%	18%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation	May 8–17, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 2.9%	44%	42%	14%^[ao]
CWS Research (R)	April 17–21, 2023	677 (LV)	± 3.8%	45%	42%	13%
Emerson College	October 17–19, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	40%	13%
Emerson College	September 20–22, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	40%	11%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	813 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	43%	9%
Blueprint Polling (D)	June 8–10, 2022	603 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	38%	17%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Cygnal (R)	April 4–6, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 2.9%	46%	37%	8%	1%	2%	6%
UT Tyler	February 18–26, 2024	1,167 (RV)	± 3.2%	41%	37%	13%	6%	3%	–
YouGov^[BC]	February 2–12, 2024	1,200 (RV)	± 3.4%	45%	36%	6%	3%	2%	8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	February 1–3, 2024	605 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	35%	6%	1%	1%	13%
Emerson College^[BD]	January 13–15, 2024	1,315 (RV)	± 2.6%	46%	36%	5%	1%	1%	11%
YouGov^[BC]	December 1–10, 2023	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	42%	34%	8%	3%	2%	12%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation	April 5–10, 2024	1,600 (LV)	± 2.45%	46%	34%	9%	11%^[ap]
Marist College	March 18–21, 2024	1,117 (RV)	± 3.8%	48%	36%	15%	1%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation	April 5–10, 2024	1,600 (LV)	± 2.45%	48%	36%	3%	13%^[aq]
YouGov^[BE]	January 11–24, 2024	1,500 (RV)	± 2.5%	49%	40%	3%	8%^[ar]

Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Joe Manchin No Labels	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
National Public Affairs	February 6–8, 2024	807 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	35%	6%	4%	3%	9%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
YouGov^[BE]	January 11–24, 2024	1,500 (RV)	± 2.5%	52%	39%	9%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation	May 8–17, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 2.9%	46%	39%	15%^[as]

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
UT Tyler	February 18–26, 2024	1,167 (RV)	± 3.2%	42%	36%	22%
YouGov^[BC]	February 2–12, 2024	1,200 (RV)	± 3.4%	31%	40%	29%^[at]
YouGov^[BE]	January 11–24, 2024	1,500 (RV)	± 2.5%	43%	39%	18%
YouGov^[BC]	December 1–10, 2023	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	33%	36%	31%
YouGov^[BC]	October 5–17, 2023	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	32%	34%	34%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
UT Tyler	February 18–26, 2024	1,167 (RV)	± 3.2%	33%	36%	20%	7%	3%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	February 1–3, 2024	605 (LV)	± 4.0%	30%	32%	14%	0%	0%	24%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
YouGov^[BC]	December 1–10, 2023	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	39%	37%	24%
YouGov^[BC]	October 5–17, 2023	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	39%	38%	24%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation	May 8–17, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 2.9%	44%	42%	14%^[au]
CWS Research (R)	April 17–21, 2023	677 (LV)	± 3.8%	44%	40%	16%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	813 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%	41%	15%

Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation	May 8–17, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 2.9%	45%	40%	15%^[av]

Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Vivek Ramaswamy Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
YouGov^[BC]	December 1–10, 2023	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	34%	37%	30%
YouGov^[BC]	October 5–17, 2023	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	33%	36%	32%

Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Mike Pence Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
YouGov^[BC]	October 5–17, 2023	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	29%	36%	36%

Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Tim Scott Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
YouGov^[BC]	October 5–17, 2023	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	33%	34%	33%

Utah[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics	January 16–21, 2024	801 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	33%	24%
Emerson College	October 25–28, 2022	825 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	34%	19%

Virginia[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University	December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024	812 (A)	± 5.4%	43%	40%	17%
Mason-Dixon	December 15–19, 2023	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	43%	8%
Roanoke College	November 12–20, 2023	686 (A)	± 4.3%	48%	44%	8%
Change Research/Future Majority (D)	September 16–19, 2023	1,437 (RV)	–	47%	42%	11%
Research America Inc.^[BF]	September 5–11, 2023	1,000 (A)	± 3.0%	37%	37%	26%
Roanoke College	August 6–15, 2023	702 (A)	± 4.2%	51%	42%	17%
Virginia Commonwealth University	July 14–25, 2023	804 (A)	± 5.4%	43%	40%	17%
Roanoke College	May 14–23, 2023	678 (A)	± 4.4%	54%	38%	8%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	May 7–9, 2023	500 (LV)	–	48%	41%	11%
Roanoke College	February 12–21, 2023	590 (RV)	± 4.2%	47%	46%	6%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Mason-Dixon	December 15–19, 2023	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	36%	14%	8%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D)	September 16–19, 2023	1,437 (RV)	–	40%	39%	7%	14%

Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Manchin Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D)	September 16–19, 2023	1,437 (RV)	–	37%	37%	7%	5%	14%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Other / Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University	December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024	812 (A)	± 5.4%	38%	43%	19%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University	December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024	812 (A)	± 5.4%	42%	39%	19%
Research America Inc.^[BG]	September 5–11, 2023	1,000 (A)	± 3.0%	39%	30%	31%
Virginia Commonwealth University	July 14–25, 2023	804 (A)	± 5.46%	41%	41%	18%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	May 7–9, 2023	500 (LV)	–	44%	44%	12%
Roanoke College	February 12–21, 2023	590 (RV)	± 4.2%	43%	48%	8%

Joe Biden vs. Glenn Youngkin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Glenn Youngkin Republican	Other / Undecided
Research America Inc.^[BH]	September 5–11, 2023	1,000 (A)	± 3.0%	37%	34%	29%
Virginia Commonwealth University	July 14–25, 2023	804 (A)	± 5.46%	37%	44%	19%
Roanoke College	February 12–21, 2023	590 (RV)	± 4.2%	39%	55%	6%

Washington[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Echelon Insights^[BI]	March 18–21, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.7%	48%	37%	15%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[BJ]	February 13–14, 2024	797 (LV)	± 3.5%	54%	38%	8%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[BJ]	November 14–15, 2023	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	52%	38%	10%
Crosscut/Elway	October 30 – November 3, 2023	403 (RV)	± 5.0%	39%	29%	31%^[aw]
Public Policy Polling (D)^[BJ]	June 7–8, 2023	773 (LV)	± 3.5%	53%	36%	11%
Emerson College	September 30 – October 1, 2022	782 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	39%	12%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)	August 15–17, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	54%	41%	6%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
Crosscut/Elway	October 30 – November 3, 2023	403 (RV)	± 5.0%	37%	25%	9%	3%	26%^[ax]

Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[BJ]	June 7–8, 2023	773 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	39%	10%

Wisconsin[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Fox News	April 11–16, 2024	1,198 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	April 8–15, 2024	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	48%	8%
Marquette University Law School	April 3–10, 2024	814 (RV)	± 4.8%	49%	51%	–
Marquette University Law School	April 3–10, 2024	736 (LV)	± 5.0%	49%	51%	–
North Star Opinion Research^[BK]	April 6–9, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	45%	10%
Wall Street Journal	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	46%	8%
Echelon Insights^[BL]	March 12–19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 5.5%	47%	46%	7%
Emerson College/The Hill	March 14–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	46%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	March 8–14, 2024	697 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	February 12–20, 2024	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	42%	46%	12%
Emerson College	February 20–24, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	45%	13%
Kaplan Strategies	February 23, 2024	941 (RV)	± 3.2%	39%	41%	20%
Marquette University Law School	January 24–31, 2024	930 (RV)	± 4.2%	49%	49%	2%
Marquette University Law School	January 24–31, 2024	808 (LV)	± 4.2%	49%	50%	1%
Fox News	January 26–30, 2024	1,172 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	47%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	January 16–21, 2024	697 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	49%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	November 27 – December 6, 2023	681 (RV)	± 4.0%	41%	45%	14%
J.L. Partners	November 27 – December 1, 2023	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	45%	41%	14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 30 – November 7, 2023	675 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	47%	7%
Emerson College	October 30 - November 4, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	43%	44%	13%
Emerson College	October 30 - November 4, 2023	819 (LV)	± 3.1%	45%	45%	10%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.8%	47%	45%	8%
Marquette University Law School	October 26 – November 2, 2023	908 (RV)	± 4.5%	50%	48%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 5–10, 2023	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	46%	10%
Emerson College	October 1–4, 2023	532 (RV)	± 4.2%	40%	42%	19%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[BM]	September 25–26, 2023	673 (RV)	± 3.8%	48%	44%	8%
Prime Group^[BN]	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	53%	47%	–
Prime Group^[BN]	June 14–28, 2023	500 (RV)	–	37%	40%	23%^[ay]
Marquette University Law School	June 8–13, 2023	913 (RV)	± 4.3%	52%	43%	4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	April 17–20, 2023	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	43%	9%
Emerson College	October 27–29, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	44%	43%	13%
Emerson College	September 16–18, 2022	860 (LV)	± 3.3%	45%	44%	11%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)^[A]	November 11–16, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	52%	6%
Marquette University Law School	October 26–31, 2021	805 (RV)	± 3.9%	45%	41%	14%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Fox News	April 11–16, 2024	1,198 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	41%	9%	2%	2%	3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	April 8–15, 2024	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	41%	44%	8%	1%	1%	5%
Marquette University Law School	April 3–10, 2024	814 (RV)	± 4.8%	40%	41%	13%	3%	2%	1%
Marquette University Law School	April 3–10, 2024	736 (LV)	± 5.0%	41%	42%	12%	3%	1%	1%
North Star Opinion Research^[BO]	April 6–9, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	36%	37%	13%	2%	4%	9%
Wall Street Journal	March 17–24, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	41%	38%	10%	1%	1%	9%
Emerson College/The Hill	March 14–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	43%	6%	1%	1%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	March 8–14, 2024	697 (RV)	± 4.0%	39%	41%	10%	1%	1%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	February 12–20, 2024	702 (RV)	± 4.0%	35%	41%	10%	1%	1%	12%
Emerson College	February 20–24, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	37%	41%	7%	1%	1%	13%
Marquette University Law School	January 24–31, 2024	930 (RV)	± 4.2%	37%	40%	16%	2%	4%	1%
Marquette University Law School	January 24–31, 2024	808 (LV)	± 4.2%	39%	41%	13%	2%	4%	1%
Fox News	January 26–30, 2024	1,172 (RV)	± 3.0%	39%	42%	7%	1%	2%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	January 16–21, 2024	697 (RV)	± 4.0%	35%	43%	10%	0%	2%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	November 27 – December 6, 2023	681 (RV)	± 4.0%	34%	40%	10%	1%	3%	13%
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail	November 27 – December 1, 2023	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	42%	37%	7%	1%	1%	12%^[az]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Other / Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	October 30 – November 7, 2023	675 (RV)	± 4.0%	36%	38%	13%	2%	11%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (LV)	± 4.8	37%	35%	22%	6%

Hypothetical polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.8%	46%	47%	7%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Other / Undecided
Marquette University Law School	January 24–31, 2024	930 (RV)	± 4.2%	41%	57%	2%
Marquette University Law School	January 24–31, 2024	808 (LV)	± 4.2%	42%	57%	1%
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.8%	39%	53%	8%
Marquette University Law School	October 26 – November 2, 2023	908 (RV)	± 4.5%	44%	53%	3%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.8%	44%	48%	8%
Marquette University Law School	October 26 – November 2, 2023	908 (RV)	± 4.5%	48%	50%	1%
Marquette University Law School	June 8–13, 2023	913 (RV)	± 4.3%	49%	47%	4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	April 17–20, 2023	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	45%	45%	10%

Notes[edit]

^ ^a ^b ^c Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w ^x ^y ^z ^aa ^ab ^ac ^ad ^ae ^af ^ag ^ah ^ai ^aj ^ak ^al ^am ^an ^ao ^ap ^aq ^ar ^as ^at ^au ^av ^aw ^ax ^ay ^az ^ba ^bb ^bc ^bd ^be ^bf ^bg ^bh ^bi ^bj ^bk ^bl ^bm ^bn ^bo ^bp ^bq ^br ^bs ^bt ^bu ^bv ^bw ^bx ^by ^bz ^ca ^cb ^cc ^cd ^ce ^cf ^cg ^ch ^ci ^cj ^ck ^cl ^cm ^cn ^co ^cp ^cq ^cr ^cs ^ct ^cu ^cv ^cw ^cx ^cy ^cz ^da ^db ^dc ^dd ^de ^df ^dg ^dh ^di ^dj ^dk ^dl ^dm ^dn ^do ^dp ^dq ^dr ^ds ^dt ^du ^dv ^dw ^dx ^dy ^dz ^ea ^eb ^ec ^ed ^ee ^ef ^eg ^eh ^ei ^ej ^ek ^el ^em ^en ^eo ^ep ^eq ^er ^es ^et ^eu ^ev ^ew ^ex ^ey ^ez ^fa ^fb ^fc ^fd ^fe ^ff ^fg ^fh ^fi ^fj ^fk ^fl ^fm ^fn ^fo ^fp ^fq ^fr ^fs ^ft ^fu ^fv ^fw ^fx ^fy ^fz ^ga ^gb ^gc ^gd ^ge ^gf ^gg ^gh ^gi ^gj ^gk ^gl ^gm ^gn ^go ^gp ^gq ^gr ^gs ^gt ^gu ^gv ^gw ^gx ^gy Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ Independent/Third party candidate with 13%
^ "Someone else" with 15%
^ No Labels candidate
^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 3%
^ Joe Manchin with 4%
^ "Someone else" with 12%
^ Cornel West & Jill Stein with 1%
^ No Labels candidate
^ "Someone else" with 10%
^ Archived 2022-02-28 at the Wayback Machine
^ Other candidate with 21%
^ Other candidate with 10%
^ Other candidate with 23%
^ Other candidate with 19%
^ "Someone else" with 14%
^ No Labels candidate
^ "Other" with 11%
^ Poll sponsored by KULR-TV
^ No Labels candidate
^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 2%
^ Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 5%
^ Donald Trump with 9%; "Another candidate" with 6%
^ Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 4%
^ Donald Trump with 16%; "Another candidate" with 11%
^ Donald Trump with 15%; "Another candidate" with 10%
^ "Someone else" with 17%
^ No Labels candidate
^ Some Other Candidate at 5%; Undecided at 10%
^ Some Other Candidate at 2%; Undecided at 10%
^ Some Other Candidate at 8%; Undecided at 22%
^ Some Other Candidate at 5%; Undecided at 16%
^ Some Other Candidate at 8%; Undecided at 16%
^ Independent/Third party candidate with 12%
^ "Undecided" & "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
^ No Labels candidate
^ "Undecided" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
^ Poll sponsored by The Tennessean
^ "Someone else" with 7%
^ "Don't know" with 8%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
^ Jill Stein (G) with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
^ Undecided with 10%; Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
^ Libertarian candidate with 1%
^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
^ "Someone else" with 21%
^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
^ "Don't know" with 10%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
^ "Someone else" with 22%; "Undecided" with 8%; "I would not vote" with 1%
^ "Undecided" with 14%; "Someone else" with 11%; "I would not vote" with 2%
^ No Labels candidate
^ "Someone else" with 12%

Partisan clients

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
^ Poll sponsored by Independent Center
^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
^ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
^ Poll sponsored by Americas PAC
^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
^ Poll sponsored by College Republicans United
^ Poll sponsored by Americas PAC
^ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
^ Poll sponsored by Americas PAC
^ Poll sponsored by Americas PAC
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media
^ Poll sponsored by the Colorado Polling Institute
^ Poll sponsored by ProgressNow Colorado
^ Poll sponsored by the Colorado Polling Institute
^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
^ Poll sponsored by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
^ ^a ^b Poll sponsored by Hardworking Americans PAC
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
^ Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register & Mediacom Iowa
^ "Someone else" with 15%
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e This poll was sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
^ Poll sponsored by The Boston Globe
^ Poll sponsored by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Department of Political Science & WCVB
^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Poll commissioned by MIRS
^ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
^ Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Poll commissioned by Citizens Awareness Project
^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
^ Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, a sponsor for the Democratic Party
^ Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
^ ^a ^b ^c Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, & KAAL-TV
^ Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
^ Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
^ Poll sponsored by Nebraska Railroaders for Public Safety
^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
^ Poll sponsored by Capitol Resource Institute
^ Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e Poll sponsored by the John Locke Foundation
^ Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
^ ^a ^b Poll sponsored by NC Values Coalition, a sponsor of the Republican Party
^ Poll sponsored by the League of American Workers
^ ^a ^b ^c Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
^ Poll sponsored by Independent Center
^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
^ Poll sponsored by Commonwealth Foundation
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
^ ^a ^b Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
^ ^a ^b ^c Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
^ Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington
^ Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington
^ Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington
^ Poll sponsored by Concerned Taxpayers of Washington State PAC
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
^ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
^ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers

References[edit]

^ "2022 Cook PVI: State Map and List". Cook Political Report. December 15, 2017. Archived from the original on July 13, 2022. Retrieved July 12, 2022.
^ "Federal Elections 2020" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. July 2023.
^ Gonzales, Nathan L. (April 26, 2023). "Initial 2024 Presidential Battleground State Ratings". Inside Elections. Archived from the original on May 1, 2023. Retrieved June 30, 2023.
^ Kondik, Kyle (June 29, 2023). "Electoral College Ratings: Expect Another Highly Competitive Election". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on June 29, 2023. Retrieved June 30, 2023.
^ "2024 CNalysis Pres. Forecast". CNalysis. November 15, 2023. Archived from the original on December 25, 2023. Retrieved December 24, 2023.
^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Archived from the original on December 20, 2023. Retrieved December 19, 2023.
^ "Road to 270". CNN. January 18, 2023. Archived from the original on January 18, 2024. Retrieved January 18, 2024.
^ ^a ^b Illinoisans Share Who They Support for President (Republican & Democrat Poll), retrieved 2023-09-02

[ME/NE-8] Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.

[key-9] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w ^x ^y ^z ^aa ^ab ^ac ^ad ^ae ^af ^ag ^ah ^ai ^aj ^ak ^al ^am ^an ^ao ^ap ^aq ^ar ^as ^at ^au ^av ^aw ^ax ^ay ^az ^ba ^bb ^bc ^bd ^be ^bf ^bg ^bh ^bi ^bj ^bk ^bl ^bm ^bn ^bo ^bp ^bq ^br ^bs ^bt ^bu ^bv ^bw ^bx ^by ^bz ^ca ^cb ^cc ^cd ^ce ^cf ^cg ^ch ^ci ^cj ^ck ^cl ^cm ^cn ^co ^cp ^cq ^cr ^cs ^ct ^cu ^cv ^cw ^cx ^cy ^cz ^da ^db ^dc ^dd ^de ^df ^dg ^dh ^di ^dj ^dk ^dl ^dm ^dn ^do ^dp ^dq ^dr ^ds ^dt ^du ^dv ^dw ^dx ^dy ^dz ^ea ^eb ^ec ^ed ^ee ^ef ^eg ^eh ^ei ^ej ^ek ^el ^em ^en ^eo ^ep ^eq ^er ^es ^et ^eu ^ev ^ew ^ex ^ey ^ez ^fa ^fb ^fc ^fd ^fe ^ff ^fg ^fh ^fi ^fj ^fk ^fl ^fm ^fn ^fo ^fp ^fq ^fr ^fs ^ft ^fu ^fv ^fw ^fx ^fy ^fz ^ga ^gb ^gc ^gd ^ge ^gf ^gg ^gh ^gi ^gj ^gk ^gl ^gm ^gn ^go ^gp ^gq ^gr ^gs ^gt ^gu ^gv ^gw ^gx ^gy Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[12] Independent/Third party candidate with 13%

[13] "Someone else" with 15%

[18] No Labels candidate

[20] Lars Mapstead (L) with 3%

[22] Joe Manchin with 4%

[23] "Someone else" with 12%

[31] Cornel West & Jill Stein with 1%

[35] No Labels candidate

[38] "Someone else" with 10%

[43] Archived 2022-02-28 at the Wayback Machine

[44] Other candidate with 21%

[45] Other candidate with 10%

[46] Other candidate with 23%

[47] Other candidate with 19%

[50] "Someone else" with 14%

[58] No Labels candidate

[62] "Other" with 11%

[KULRTV-64] Poll sponsored by KULR-TV

[69] No Labels candidate

[71] Lars Mapstead (L) with 2%

[72] Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 5%

[73] Donald Trump with 9%; "Another candidate" with 6%

[74] Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 4%

[75] Donald Trump with 16%; "Another candidate" with 11%

[76] Donald Trump with 15%; "Another candidate" with 10%

[79] "Someone else" with 17%

[82] No Labels candidate

[86] Some Other Candidate at 5%; Undecided at 10%

[87] Some Other Candidate at 2%; Undecided at 10%

[88] Some Other Candidate at 8%; Undecided at 22%

[89] Some Other Candidate at 5%; Undecided at 16%

[90] Some Other Candidate at 8%; Undecided at 16%

[92] Independent/Third party candidate with 12%

[94] "Undecided" & "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%

[97] No Labels candidate

[98] "Undecided" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%

[101] Poll sponsored by The Tennessean

[103] "Someone else" with 7%

[105] "Don't know" with 8%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"

[106] Jill Stein (G) with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%

[107] Undecided with 10%; Chase Oliver (L) with 3%

[109] Libertarian candidate with 1%

[110] "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"

[111] "Someone else" with 21%

[112] "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"

[113] "Don't know" with 10%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"

[119] "Someone else" with 22%; "Undecided" with 8%; "I would not vote" with 1%

[120] "Undecided" with 14%; "Someone else" with 11%; "I would not vote" with 2%

[125] No Labels candidate

[127] "Someone else" with 12%

[TrumpCampaign-10] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign

[11] Poll sponsored by Independent Center

[14] Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation

[15] Poll sponsored by League of American Workers

[16] Poll sponsored by Americas PAC

[17] Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC

[19] Poll sponsored by College Republicans United

[21] Poll sponsored by Americas PAC

[24] Poll sponsored by League of American Workers

[25] Poll sponsored by Americas PAC

[26] Poll sponsored by Americas PAC

[Nexstar-27] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media

[28] Poll sponsored by the Colorado Polling Institute

[29] Poll sponsored by ProgressNow Colorado

[30] Poll sponsored by the Colorado Polling Institute

[32] Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation

[33] Poll sponsored by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

[34] Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC

[HardworkingAmericans-36] Poll sponsored by Hardworking Americans PAC

[BoltonPAC-37] Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC

[DNM-40] Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register & Mediacom Iowa

[41] "Someone else" with 15%

[ITR-42] This poll was sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation

[48] Poll sponsored by The Boston Globe

[49] Poll sponsored by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Department of Political Science & WCVB

[51] Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation

[MIRS-52] Poll commissioned by MIRS

[53] Poll sponsored by League of American Workers

[54] Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV

[55] Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund

[CAP-56] Poll commissioned by Citizens Awareness Project

[57] Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC

[59] Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, a sponsor for the Democratic Party

[60] Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV

[KSTP-61] Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, & KAAL-TV

[63] Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group

[65] Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group

[66] Poll sponsored by Nebraska Railroaders for Public Safety

[67] Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation

[68] Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC

[70] Poll sponsored by Capitol Resource Institute

[77] Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV

[JLF-78] Poll sponsored by the John Locke Foundation

[80] Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward

[81] Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC

[NCVC-83] Poll sponsored by NC Values Coalition, a sponsor of the Republican Party

[84] Poll sponsored by the League of American Workers

[emnx-85] Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group

[91] Poll sponsored by Independent Center

[93] Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation

[95] Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund

[96] Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC

[99] Poll sponsored by Commonwealth Foundation

[BCT-100] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee

[TPP-102] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas

[NMG-104] Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group

[Hobby-108] Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston

[114] Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington

[115] Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington

[116] Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington

[117] Poll sponsored by Concerned Taxpayers of Washington State PAC

[NPI-118] This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute

[121] Poll sponsored by League of American Workers

[122] Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation

[123] Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund

[124] Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC

[126] Poll sponsored by League of American Workers

[1] "2022 Cook PVI: State Map and List". Cook Political Report. December 15, 2017. Archived from the original on July 13, 2022. Retrieved July 12, 2022.

[2] "Federal Elections 2020" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. July 2023.

[Inside_Elections-3] Gonzales, Nathan L. (April 26, 2023). "Initial 2024 Presidential Battleground State Ratings". Inside Elections. Archived from the original on May 1, 2023. Retrieved June 30, 2023.

[Sabato's_Crystal_Ball-4] Kondik, Kyle (June 29, 2023). "Electoral College Ratings: Expect Another Highly Competitive Election". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on June 29, 2023. Retrieved June 30, 2023.

[CNalysis-5] "2024 CNalysis Pres. Forecast". CNalysis. November 15, 2023. Archived from the original on December 25, 2023. Retrieved December 24, 2023.

[The_Cook_Political_Report-6] "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Archived from the original on December 20, 2023. Retrieved December 19, 2023.

[CNN-7] "Road to 270". CNN. January 18, 2023. Archived from the original on January 18, 2024. Retrieved January 18, 2024.

[:0-39] Illinoisans Share Who They Support for President (Republican & Democrat Poll), retrieved 2023-09-02

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