Shimane 1st district

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Shimane 1st district is a constituency of the House of Representatives in the Diet of Japan.

Shimane 1st district
Parliamentary constituency
for the Japanese House of Representatives
Numbered map of Shimane Prefecture single-member districts
PrefectureShimane
Proportional DistrictChugoku
Electorate259,179[1]
Current constituency
Created1994
SeatsOne
RepresentativeVacant
MunicipalitiesMatsue, Yasugi, Unnan, Nita District, Iishi District, and Oki District

History[edit]

Since the introduction of the Single-member district to Japan beginning in 1994, Hiroyuki Hosoda of the Liberal Democratic Party has been elected continuously, backed by the solid foundation of support the Hosoda family has built in Shimane, starting with Hiroyuki Hosoda's father, Kichizo Hosoda [ja]. Shimane also serves as a conservative kingdom for the LDP. Hiroyuki was extremely knowledgeable in elections; Noboru Takeshita praised him as "the most knowledgeable about poltiics outside of myself". In 2005, Hosoda became Chief Cabinet Secretary, and has additionally held the roles of Secretary-General of the Liberal Democratic Party and Party Chairman of General Affairs. Due to this, Hosoda himself rarely returned to campaign in the district, but usually won by hefty margins, with no other candidates even winning a spot in the overall Chūgoku proportional representation block (outside of the 2009 Japanese general election, where Toshiaki Komuro managed to win a spot. He lost it in the 2012 Japanese general election).

The death of the Takeshita brothers (Noboru, along with Wataru Takeshita) has strained LDP influence in the prefecture. Additionally, Hiroyuki Hosoda himself died in October 2023.[2] Prior to this, Hosoda's margin of victory had been halved; prior to 2017, he had won by nearly thirty points in every election. In the 2017 Japanese general election, this was cut down to twenty, and Akiko Kamei became the first opposition politician since 2009 to return on a proportional block. Despite her losing the proportional seat in the 2021 Japanese general election, Hosoda's margin of victory had been cut down to a further fifteen points. With Hosoda's death and extreme unpopularity relating to his sexual harassment scandals and ties to the Unification Church, the by-election due to occur in April has been projected to be unusually close. The opposition has also unified around Akiko Kamei.[3]

Areas Covered[edit]

Additionally, the Liancourt Rocks are included in the district.

List of representatives[edit]

Representative Party Dates Notes
Hiroyuki Hosoda LDP 1996–2023 Resigned mid-term.[4]

Election results[edit]

2021[5]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
LDP, Komeito Hiroyuki Hosoda 90,638 56.02 Decrease3.38
CDP, SDP, JCP Akiko Kamei 66,847 41.31 Increase0.71
Independent Akiko Kamei[a] 4,319 2.67 New
Turnout 268,337 61.23 Increase2.06
2017[6]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
LDP, Komeito Hiroyuki Hosoda 95,513 59.40 Decrease4.86
CDP, SDP, DPP Akiko Kamei 65,285 40.60 New
Turnout 276,664 59.17 Increase1.23
2014[7]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
LDP, Komeito Hiroyuki Hosoda 100,376 64.26 Decrease0.41
DPJ Shoichiro Wada 38,346 24.55 Decrease2.64
JCP Yoshio Uedai 17,476 11.19 Increase3.05
2012[8]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
LDP, Komeito Hiroyuki Hosoda 112,605 64.67 Increase7.48
DPJ Toshiaki Komuro 47,343 27.19 Decrease10.5
JCP Keiko Yoshigi 14,173 8.14 Increase3.98
2009[9]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
LDP Hiroyuki Hosoda 122,595 57.19 Decrease3.33
DPJ, PNP Toshiaki Komuro 80,789 37.69 Increase9.05
JCP Ikuhisa Ishitobi 8,923 4.16 Decrease2.01
HRP Kenichiro Ikeda 2,060 0.96 New
2005[10]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
LDP Hiroyuki Hosoda 125,401 60.52 Decrease0.5
DPJ Kazuhisa Hamaguchi 59,334 28.64 Decrease2.97
JCP Kiyoichi Tanaka 12,786 6.17 Decrease1.2
SDP Katsumi Kano 9,675 4.67 New
2003[11]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
LDP Hiroyuki Hosoda 117,897 61.02 Increase10.1
DPJ Kazuhiza Hamaguchi 61,071 31.61 Increase5.98
JCP Yoshio Uedai 14,237 7.37 Increase1.54
2000[12]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
LDP Hiroyuki Hosoda 74,163 50.92 Decrease1.2
DPJ Daikichi Ishibashi 37,323 25.63 Decrease7.15
Independents Hisato Iwamoto 25,671 17.63 New
JCP Haruo Yoshikawa 8,484 5.83 Decrease9.27
1996[13]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
LDP Hiroyuki Hosoda 73,907 52.12 New
DPJ Daikichi Ishibashi 46,481 32.78 New
JCP Yoshiko Nakabayashi 21,416 15.10 New

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Unrelated to Akiko Kamei, the CDP candidate.

References[edit]

  1. ^ Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (MIC): [1](in Japanese)
  2. ^ "Hosoda name now a 'liability' for LDP in Shimane election". asahi. Asahi Shimbun. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  3. ^ "衆院島根1区補欠選挙党公認内定者に亀井亜紀子さんを決定". cdp-japan. CDP. Retrieved 26 March 2024.
  4. ^ "Lower House Speaker Hosoda to step down due to poor health". The Asahi Shimbun. 30 September 2023. Retrieved 13 November 2023.
  5. ^ 小選挙区開票速報:大阪 (in Japanese). NHK. Retrieved 1 November 2021.
  6. ^ "鳥取県". sp.yomiuri.co.jp (in Japanese). 2017. Archived from the original on October 22, 2017. Retrieved 25 May 2023.
  7. ^ 総選挙2014>開票結果 小選挙区 鳥取. Yomiuri Shimbun (in Japanese). Retrieved 2013-05-15.
  8. ^ 総選挙2012>開票結果 小選挙区 鳥取. Yomiuri Shimbun (in Japanese). Retrieved 2013-05-15.
  9. ^ 衆議院>第45回衆議院議員選挙>鳥取県>鳥取1区. ザ・選挙 (in Japanese). JANJAN. Retrieved 2011-02-14.
  10. ^ 衆議院>第44回衆議院議員選挙>鳥取県>鳥取1区. ザ・選挙 (in Japanese). JANJAN. Retrieved 2011-02-14.
  11. ^ 衆議院>第43回衆議院議員選挙>鳥取県>鳥取1区. ザ・選挙 (in Japanese). JANJAN. Retrieved 2011-02-14.
  12. ^ 衆議院>第42回衆議院議員選挙>鳥取県>鳥取1区. ザ・選挙 (in Japanese). JANJAN. Retrieved 2011-02-14.
  13. ^ 衆議院>第41回衆議院議員選挙>鳥取県>鳥取1区. ザ・選挙 (in Japanese). JANJAN. Retrieved 2011-02-14.