Leadership opinion polling for the 2000 Spanish general election
In the run up to the 2000 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 3 March 1996, to the day the next election was held, on 12 March 2000.
Preferred Prime Minister[edit]
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become Prime Minister.
Aznar vs. Almunia[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | .jpg)
|
.jpg)
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aznar PP |
Almunia PSOE | ||||||
| Vox Pública/El Periódico[1] | 28 Feb–1 Mar 2000 | 2,300 | 47.3 | 34.0 | 6.3 | 12.4 | 13.3 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[2] | 24–28 Feb 2000 | 3,000 | 40.5 | 35.4 | 4.6 | 19.5 | 5.1 |
| CIS[3] | 11–28 Feb 2000 | 24,040 | 43.7 | 30.5 | 18.3 | 7.5 | 13.2 |
| Vox Pública/El Periódico[4] | 5–8 Feb 2000 | 2,300 | 50.7 | 30.0 | 7.9 | 11.3 | 20.7 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[5] | 22–25 Jan 2000 | 3,000 | 37.3 | 32.3 | 7.6 | 22.8 | 5.0 |
| Vox Pública/El Periódico[6] | 11–18 Jan 2000 | 2,300 | 53.6 | 29.9 | 10.1 | 6.3 | 23.7 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[7] | 19–22 Nov 1999 | 3,000 | 37.0 | 31.2 | 9.0 | 22.8 | 5.8 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[8] | 23–24 Jan 1998 | 1,000 | 35.4 | 30.1 | 10.4 | 24.1 | 5.3 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[9] | 4–5 Dec 1997 | 1,000 | 33.4 | 32.0 | 7.4 | 27.2 | 1.4 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[10] | 19–21 Sep 1997 | 1,000 | 30.0 | 31.0 | 11.4 | 27.6 | 1.0 |
Aznar vs. Borrell[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
.jpg)
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aznar PP |
Borrell PSOE | ||||||
| Opina/La Vanguardia[11] | 21–23 Jan 1999 | 1,000 | 32.0 | 33.2 | 9.9 | 24.9 | 1.2 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[12] | 13–14 Nov 1998 | 1,000 | 30.8 | 33.1 | 9.7 | 26.4 | 2.3 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[13] | 13 May 1998 | 1,000 | 30.7 | 38.2 | 9.1 | 22.0 | 7.5 |
| Demoscopia/El País[14] | 25 Apr 1998 | 1,200 | 30.0 | 40.0 | 30.0 | 10.0 | |
Aznar vs. González[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
.jpg)
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aznar PP |
González PSOE | ||||||
| Opina/La Vanguardia[8] | 23–24 Jan 1998 | 1,000 | 35.2 | 33.5 | 10.3 | 21.0 | 1.7 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[9] | 4–5 Dec 1997 | 1,000 | 34.2 | 34.8 | 7.5 | 23.5 | 0.6 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[10] | 19–21 Sep 1997 | 1,000 | 30.9 | 35.3 | 11.0 | 22.8 | 4.4 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[15] | 14–16 Jun 1997 | 1,000 | 30.0 | 31.0 | 13.2 | 25.7 | 1.0 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[16] | 19–20 May 1997 | 1,000 | 29.9 | 28.3 | 15.0 | 26.8 | 1.6 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[17] | 19–20 Apr 1997 | 1,000 | 31.1 | 31.4 | 13.3 | 24.2 | 0.3 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[18] | 7–8 Mar 1997 | 1,000 | 32.2 | 32.8 | 13.4 | 23.6 | 0.6 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[19] | 3–4 Feb 1997 | 1,000 | 29.5 | 32.0 | 13.6 | 24.9 | 2.5 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[20] | 30 Sep–2 Oct 1996 | 1,066 | 26.9 | 34.3 | 11.7 | 27.1 | 7.4 |
Predicted Prime Minister[edit]
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become Prime Minister.
Aznar vs. Almunia[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aznar PP |
Almunia PSOE | ||||||
| Opina/La Vanguardia[2] | 24–28 Feb 2000 | 3,000 | 60.0 | 16.7 | 0.3 | 23.0 | 43.3 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[5] | 22–25 Jan 2000 | 3,000 | 64.3 | 12.1 | 1.2 | 22.4 | 52.2 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[7] | 19–22 Nov 1999 | 3,000 | 64.1 | 11.8 | 0.7 | 23.4 | 52.3 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[8] | 23–24 Jan 1998 | 1,000 | 61.5 | 12.9 | 2.4 | 23.2 | 48.6 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[9] | 4–5 Dec 1997 | 1,000 | 56.8 | 13.9 | 2.0 | 27.3 | 42.9 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[10] | 19–21 Sep 1997 | 1,000 | 46.6 | 19.4 | 4.3 | 29.7 | 27.2 |
Aznar vs. Borrell[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aznar PP |
Borrell PSOE | ||||||
| Opina/La Vanguardia[11] | 21–23 Jan 1999 | 1,000 | 62.8 | 12.2 | 2.1 | 22.9 | 50.6 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[12] | 13–14 Nov 1998 | 1,000 | 55.9 | 14.6 | 2.3 | 27.2 | 41.3 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[13] | 13 May 1998 | 1,000 | 47.5 | 25.7 | 2.7 | 24.1 | 21.8 |
Aznar vs. González[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aznar PP |
González PSOE | ||||||
| Opina/La Vanguardia[8] | 23–24 Jan 1998 | 1,000 | 59.2 | 19.0 | 2.4 | 19.4 | 40.2 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[9] | 4–5 Dec 1997 | 1,000 | 53.6 | 21.2 | 2.1 | 23.1 | 32.4 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[10] | 19–21 Sep 1997 | 1,000 | 45.7 | 27.9 | 5.1 | 21.3 | 17.8 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[15] | 14–16 Jun 1997 | 1,000 | 41.0 | 25.0 | 5.6 | 28.3 | 16.0 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[16] | 19–20 May 1997 | 1,000 | 39.6 | 27.1 | 5.4 | 27.9 | 12.5 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[17] | 19–20 Apr 1997 | 1,000 | 40.5 | 28.0 | 4.9 | 26.7 | 12.5 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[18] | 7–8 Mar 1997 | 1,000 | 38.4 | 31.8 | 5.8 | 24.0 | 6.6 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[19] | 3–4 Feb 1997 | 1,000 | 34.0 | 33.9 | 5.7 | 26.4 | 0.1 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[20] | 30 Sep–2 Oct 1996 | 1,066 | 37.7 | 27.4 | 5.1 | 27.1 | 10.3 |
Leader ratings[edit]
The table below lists opinion polling on leader ratings, on a 0–10 scale: 0 would stand for a "terrible" rating, whereas 10 would stand for "excellent".
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
.jpg)
|
.jpg)
|
.jpg)
|
.jpg)
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aznar PP |
González PSOE |
Almunia PSOE |
Borrell PSOE |
Anguita IU |
Frutos IU |
Pujol CiU |
Arzalluz PNV | |||
| Opina/La Vanguardia[21] | 24–28 Feb 2000 | 3,000 | 5.4 | – | 5.1 | – | – | 4.7 | – | – |
| CIS[3] | 11–28 Feb 2000 | 24,040 | 5.29 | – | 4.82 | – | – | 4.11 | 3.54 | 1.99 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[5] | 22–25 Jan 2000 | 3,000 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 5.0 | – | – | 4.4 | 4.4 | 2.4 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[7] | 19–22 Nov 1999 | 3,000 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 4.7 | – | 3.8 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 2.7 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[11] | 21–23 Jan 1999 | 1,000 | 5.3 | 5.3 | – | 4.9 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 2.5 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[12] | 13–14 Nov 1998 | 1,000 | 5.5 | 5.1 | – | 5.1 | 4.3 | – | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[13] | 13 May 1998 | 1,000 | 5.1 | 5.2 | – | 5.3 | 4.4 | – | 4.4 | 3.1 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[22] | 23–24 Jan 1998 | 1,000 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 5.2 | – | 4.0 | – | 4.3 | 3.5 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[23] | 4–5 Dec 1997 | 1,000 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.3 | – | 3.9 | – | 4.2 | 3.1 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[24] | 19–21 Sep 1997 | 1,000 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 5.3 | – | 3.6 | – | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[15] | 14–16 Jun 1997 | 1,000 | 5.2 | 5.1 | – | – | 4.2 | – | 4.2 | 3.5 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[25] | 19–20 May 1997 | 1,000 | 5.2 | 5.0 | – | – | 4.1 | – | 4.0 | 3.2 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[17] | 19–20 Apr 1997 | 1,000 | 5.2 | 5.2 | – | – | 4.3 | – | 4.1 | 3.2 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[18] | 7–8 Mar 1997 | 1,000 | 5.4 | 5.6 | – | – | 4.7 | – | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[19] | 3–4 Feb 1997 | 1,000 | 4.9 | 5.0 | – | – | 4.2 | – | 4.3 | 3.3 |
| Opina/La Vanguardia[20] | 30 Sep–2 Oct 1996 | 1,066 | 5.1 | 5.5 | – | – | 4.0 | – | 4.1 | 3.6 |
Approval ratings[edit]
The tables below list the public approval ratings of the leaders and leading candidates of the main political parties in Spain.
José María Aznar[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | José María Aznar (PP) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
Net | |||
| Gallup[26] | 2–27 Sep 1999 | 2,029 | 35.0 | 41.0 | 24.0 | −6.0 |
Joaquín Almunia[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Joaquín Almunia (PSOE) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
Net | |||
| Gallup[26] | 2–27 Sep 1999 | 2,029 | 27.0 | 36.0 | 37.0 | −9.0 |
Felipe González[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Felipe González (PSOE) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
Net | |||
| Gallup[26] | 2–27 Sep 1999 | 2,029 | 39.0 | 33.0 | 28.0 | +6.0 |
Julio Anguita[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Julio Anguita (IU) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
Net | |||
| Gallup[26] | 2–27 Sep 1999 | 2,029 | 19.0 | 51.0 | 30.0 | −32.0 |
References[edit]
- ^ "Duelo Aznar-Almunia". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 6 March 2000.
- ^ a b "El PSOE mejora sus expectativas aunque el PP sigue como favorito". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 5 March 2000.
- ^ a b "Preelectoral elecciones generales y autonómicas de Andalucía, 2000 (Estudio nº 2382. Febrero 2000)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 3 March 2000.
- ^ "Aznar sigue siendo el preferido como presidente". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 12 February 2000.
- ^ a b c "El 64% de los españoles da por hecho que Aznar volverá a ganar". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 30 January 2000.
- ^ "Cara a cara". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 23 January 2000.
- ^ a b c "El electorado prefiere ahora un triunfo del PP". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 28 November 1999.
- ^ a b c d "Las expectativas de una victoria del PSOE se hunden". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 1 February 1998.
- ^ a b c d "Aznar vuelve a colocarse como el líder más valorado". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 14 December 1997.
- ^ a b c d "Almunia irrumpe como una seria amenaza a Aznar". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 28 September 1997.
- ^ a b c "Las expectativas de Borrell caen y Aznar resiste". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 31 January 1999.
- ^ a b c "La confianza en Aznar bate a un Borrell preferido". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 22 November 1998.
- ^ a b c "IU aún pierde un tercio de votos y NI se hunde". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 17 May 1998.
- ^ "Borrell aventajaría a Aznar por 10 puntos". El País (in Spanish). 26 April 2000.
- ^ a b c "El PP consolida su ligera ventaja". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 22 June 1997.
- ^ a b "El PP recupera la posición del 3-M". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 25 May 1997.
- ^ a b c "El PSOE acentúa su precaria ventaja". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 27 April 1997.
- ^ a b c "El PSOE vuelve a ponerse por delante". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 16 March 1997.
- ^ a b c "El PP recupera el voto del 3 de marzo". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 9 February 1997.
- ^ a b c "Ligera ventaja del PSOE sobre el PP". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 6 October 1996.
- ^ "Aznar acaricia la "mayoría suficiente"". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 5 March 2000.
- ^ "El PP amplía su ventaja sobre el PSOE". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 1 February 1998.
- ^ "El PSOE retrocede e IU se desploma". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 14 December 1997.
- ^ "El PSOE recorta distancias con el PP". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 28 September 1997.
- ^ "Aznar obtiene por primera vez mejor nota que González". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 25 May 1997.
- ^ a b c d "Intención de voto y valoración de líderes. Septiembre 1999". Gallup España (in Spanish). 27 September 1999. Archived from the original on 1999-11-04.
