File:Digits in largest prime found as a function of time.svg

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Summary

Description
English: Plot of the number of digits in largest known prime by year, since the electronic computer. Note that the vertical scale is logarithmic. The green line is the exponential curve of best fit that was followed roughly until 1999; the red curve is a linear fit, more accurate after 1999. Run the source code below to get actual
Русский: График зависимости числа цифр в наибольшем известном простом числе по годам с момента появления первого компьютера. Вертикальная шкала логарифмическая. Зеленая линия - экспоненциальная кривая наилучшего приближения, которой примерно следовал рост числа цифр до 1999 года; красная кривая - это линейная аппроксимация, более точное приближение после 1999 г.
Date
Source Own work
Author Nicoguaro
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Source code
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Python code

"""
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from scipy.optimize import curve_fit
from matplotlib import rcParams

rcParams['font.size'] = 14

# Data
data = np.array([[
            1952,     1952,     1957,     1961,     1961,     1963,
            1963,     1971,     1978,     1979,     1979,     1982,
            1983,     1985,     1989,     1992,     1994,     1996,
            1996,     1997,     1998,     1999,     2001,     2003,
            2004,     2005,     2005,     2006,     2008,     2013,
            2016,     2018,     2018],
       [     157,      687,      969,     1281,     1332,     2917,
            3376,     6002,     6533,     6987,    13395,    25962,
           39751,    65050,    65087,   227832,   258716,   378632,
          420921,   895932,   909526,  2098960,  4053946,  6320430,
         7235733,  7816230,  9152052,  9808358, 12978189, 17425170,
        22338618, 23249425, 24862048]])
year = data[0, :]
primes = data[1, :]

year_of_lin_growth = 1998

plt.plot(year, primes, color="#377eb8", marker=".", drawstyle='steps-post')
plt.yscale('log')
# Fit function
def lin_fun(x, a, b):
    return a*x + b

def exp_fun(x, a, b):
    return np.exp(a*x + b)
    
## Plot the older part which follows exponential growth of digits with time
popt, pcov = curve_fit(lin_fun, year[year <= year_of_lin_growth], np.log(primes[year <= year_of_lin_growth]))
x_vals = np.linspace(np.min(year), year_of_lin_growth, 20)
y_vals = exp_fun(x_vals, *popt)
plt.plot(x_vals, y_vals, color="#1ae41c", linestyle="dashed", label='digit number doubling every {:.1f} y'.format(np.log(2)/popt[0]))
print('Exponential fit (green curve): y = exp({:.4f} * t  +  {:.4f})'.format(*popt))



year_of_lin_growth = 1998
## Plot the newer part which follows linear growth of digits with time
popt, pcov = curve_fit(lin_fun, year[year >= year_of_lin_growth], primes[year >= year_of_lin_growth])
x_vals = np.linspace(year_of_lin_growth, np.max(year), 100)
y_vals = lin_fun(x_vals, *popt)
plt.plot(x_vals, y_vals, color="#e41a1c", linestyle="dashed", label='digit number growing by $10^6$ every {:.2f} y'.format(1e6/popt[0]))
print('Linear fit (red curve): y = {:.4g} * t  +  {:.4g}'.format(*popt))

# Plot details
plt.legend(prop={'size':10})
plt.xlabel("Year")
plt.ylabel("Number of digits in largest known prime")
plt.savefig("Digits_in_largest_found_prime_as_a_function_of_time.svg", bbox_inches="tight")
plt.show()

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I, the copyright holder of this work, hereby publish it under the following license:
w:en:Creative Commons
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Date/TimeThumbnailDimensionsUserComment
current12:09, 22 August 2020Thumbnail for version as of 12:09, 22 August 2020540 × 408 (59 KB)Gap9551fixed error in linear rate (red line fit) in legend
11:46, 22 August 2020Thumbnail for version as of 11:46, 22 August 2020540 × 408 (59 KB)Gap9551Reverted to version as of 11:22, 22 August 2020 (UTC) file appears fine now
11:39, 22 August 2020Thumbnail for version as of 11:39, 22 August 2020540 × 408 (59 KB)Gap9551another attempt to upload file with 4.3 yr doubling time. the previous upload did not overwrite the existing file.
11:22, 22 August 2020Thumbnail for version as of 11:22, 22 August 2020540 × 408 (59 KB)Gap9551doubling time fixed in legend
13:17, 24 June 2020Thumbnail for version as of 13:17, 24 June 2020540 × 409 (56 KB)FDominecUpdated datasets to 2020; added exponential and linear portions of the curve fit.
20:30, 13 September 2016Thumbnail for version as of 20:30, 13 September 2016659 × 504 (63 KB)NicoguaroUser created page with UploadWizard
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