File:Haitz-law.svg

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Summary

Description
English: Plot of Haitz's law of the luminosity per package of LEDs increasing exponentially over time, while the cost per lumen drops exponentially.
Feel free to add new data points and upload updated versions using the provided Matplotlib code. New data points must be the best values (highest luminosity per package or lowest price per luminosity) at their given time of publication.
Date
Source Own work
Author Geek3
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Source code
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Python code

#! /usr/bin/env python
# -*- coding:utf8 -*-
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np
import scipy.optimize as op
from math import *

# data: "The case for a national research program on semiconductor lighting" Sandia Report (2000), "Solid-state lighting", Optik & Photonik 2 (2011), and others
# flux in lm/W
flux = zip(
(1968, 0.001, 'GaAsP'),
(1970, 0.0027, 'GaAsP'),
(1972, 0.0041, 'GaAsP'),
(1974, 0.035, 'GaAsPN'),
(1980, 0.062, 'GaAsPN'),
(1983, 0.12, 'GaAlAs'),
(1987, 0.41, 'GaAlAs'),
(1989, 0.78, 'GaAlAs'),
(1992, 1.2, 'GaAlInP'),
(1995, 2.6, 'GaAlInP'),
(1996, 3.9, 'GaAlInP'),
(1998, 11., 'GaAlInP'),
(1999, 17., 'GaAlInP'),
(2000, 46., 'GaAlInP'),
(2005, 170., 'GaAlInP'),
(2003, 110., 'GaInN'),
(2006, 310., 'GaInN'),
(2007, 460., 'GaInN'),
(2009, 1.7e3, 'GaInN'),
(2010, 5.3e3, 'GaInN')
)

# cost in $/lm
cost = zip(
(1973, 53., 'GaAsP'),
(1976, 9.2, 'GaAsPN'),
(1979, 6.2, 'GaAsPN'),
(1981, 3.6, 'GaAsPN'),
(1983, 2.1, 'GaAlAs'),
(1987, 0.64, 'GaAlAs'),
(1989, 0.32, 'GaAlAs'),
(1994, 0.28, 'GaAlInP'),
(1996, 0.14, 'GaAlInP'),
(1997, 0.10, 'GaAlInP'),
(1999, 0.099, 'GaAlInP'),
(2000, 0.077, 'GaAlInP'),
(2001, 0.059, 'GaAlInP'),
(2003, 0.022, 'GaAlInP'),
(2005, 0.017, 'GaAlInP'), 
(2007, 0.0096, 'GaInN'),
(2009, 0.0076, 'GaInN'),
(2010, 0.0038, 'GaInN')
)

fig = plt.figure(figsize=(520 / 90.0, 340 / 90.0), dpi=72)
plt.plot(flux[0], flux[1], 'ro', mew=0.8, label='flux / package [lm]')
plt.plot(cost[0], cost[1], 'bD', mew=0.8, label='cost / lumen [$/lm]')

def line(p, x):
    return p[0] * (x - p[1])

flux_line = op.minimize(lambda p, x, y: sum((line(p, x) - np.log10(y))**2), x0=(0.1, 2000), args=(np.array(flux[0]), np.array(flux[1])))
trange = np.linspace(1967.5, 2016, 100)
plt.plot(trange, 10**line(flux_line.x, np.array(trange)), 'r-')

cost_line = op.minimize(lambda p, x, y: sum((line(p, x) - np.log10(y))**2), x0=(0.1, 2000), args=(np.array(cost[0]), np.array(cost[1])))
plt.plot(trange, 10**line(cost_line.x, np.array(trange)), 'b-')

plt.gca().tick_params(axis='both', which='major', labelsize=14.4)
plt.gca().set_yscale('log')
plt.grid(True)
plt.xlim(1966, 2017)
plt.ylim(0.6e-3, 1e4)
plt.legend(loc='upper left')
plt.tight_layout()
plt.savefig('Haitz-law.svg')

Licensing

I, the copyright holder of this work, hereby publish it under the following license:
w:en:Creative Commons
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You are free:
  • to share – to copy, distribute and transmit the work
  • to remix – to adapt the work
Under the following conditions:
  • attribution – You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.
  • share alike – If you remix, transform, or build upon the material, you must distribute your contributions under the same or compatible license as the original.

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17 December 2017

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Date/TimeThumbnailDimensionsUserComment
current21:01, 17 December 2017Thumbnail for version as of 21:01, 17 December 2017520 × 340 (59 KB)Geek3bugfix
20:55, 17 December 2017Thumbnail for version as of 20:55, 17 December 2017520 × 340 (59 KB)Geek3User created page with UploadWizard
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